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I think there are more legal music downloads than illegal
No question that music and movies are the most visible content distributed by P2P. Do we know if on an absolute basis most of that music in particular is illegally distributed.? No we dont. Its very conceivable that there are far more personal, vanity projects and independent projects that are being offered on the net than charting music.
Its also probable that the most popular music that is being downloaded is being downloaded illegally. But has anyone done any analysis of the long tail vs the most popular titles ?
Chris Anderson of Wired has written brilliantly about the bellcurve of content and information distribution on the net. That popular items are just that, popular. My guess however is that in absolute numbers, the long tail of the download distribution curves, both in terms of number of songs , and in number of songs downloaded, overwhelm the number of copyrighted songs illegally being downloaded.
How many songs are in the catalogs of the RIAA member labels vs the number of songs on all the indie music sites on the net? Anyone have an idea? How many selfpublishing artists and bands are there offering downloads ? Want to bet A < B+C ?
Thats today.Killing the golden goose of progress is what scares me more than anything about all of this P2P hating.
What about future applications? . . . .
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Is it inconcievable that we at somepoint in the future want to submit anonymously the list and dosages of medication we are taking along with high resolution Xrays and pictures that are distributed to systems that analyze the mix looking for red flags that are then reviewed by physicians and returned, still anonymously back to us ? This type of application cant happen in a typical client server environment. Peer to Peer is a foundation for this type of application.
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Why would the supreme court even consider eliminating these opportunities ?
I think we have forgotten that EVERY SINGLE BOOK, PICTURE and MOVIE that exists today, and has ever existed to this point in the 230 year history of this country will at one point be in the public domain. Owned , shared and enjoyed by the citizens of this country. From this day forward, the ability to generate digital content will be ever simplified and made less expensive. The amount of digital content created going forward will expand exponentially.
It is the job of the Supreme Court to protect our ability to share, distribute and enjoy every single digital bit of it. That obligation in and of itself is enough of a non infringing use of P2P for it be protected forever.
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[Blog Maverick]