"Punditwatch is not going to grasp at the ether of pundit speculation and opinion on this war until enough time has passed to make it informed speculation and opinion."

I think this is the only reasonable position to take at this very early point in the war.  It's much too early to say one way or another if things are going well. 

There certainly seems to be some evidence pointing towards things going worse than the Administration expected, but that shouldn't doom the whole enterprise to failure quite yet.   The administration and their supporter's expectations were extremely unrealistic to start with, and I think they are quickly being adjusted to the reality on the ground while covering their tracks in case things go south on them. 

There is also some evidence that civilians in the extreme southwestern end of Iraq - where humanitarian aid is flowing and fear of Saddam slowly waning - seem reasonably happy to be liberated, although relieved may be a better word.  I think that's about all that could reasonably be expected and the longer we stick around, the less 'liberated' they'll be feeling.  A quote from today's Times regarding the lessons of Lebanon sums it up nicely:

"I remember early on, I was in Jezzin in southern Lebanon," he said. "I was talking to an old man, a Shiite, who was very happy about what Israel had done. He grabbed my arm and said, `Don't forget to leave.' But we did. There is just no such thing as an enlightened occupation."