The Hinterland Rants from the hinterland. A Denver writer and pretend anthropologist rips into artistic treason and random acts of ethical violence.
May also contain gushes of enthusiasm.


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Saturday, December 06, 2003


All locked up for Howard Dean?

Interesting that we're now getting some news analysis pieces--at least from places like Salon--asking whether Howard Dean has the whole race wrapped up.

(But Salon, of all places, again makes the eggregiously wrong statement that New Hampshire is the first primary. For God's sake, it's DC!)

According to Mario Cuomo, every insider he talks to says Dean already has it won.

I never believe anyone telling me anything is certain, but the odds for the others continue dwindling by the day. (It's been the same story since July. Dean's odds improve a tick or two every week, the window for the others just gets narrower and narrower.)

Interesting quote from Marist College Institute pollster Lee Miringoff:

. . . the more non-Dean folks who stay around, the better Dean is likely to do in the post-New Hampshire climate. The worst thing that can happen for Dean is to have a clear challenger. Either Dean has to falter early or people like Gephardt and Kerry have to disappear very fast." He paused for a moment. "But then," he said, "if Dean knocks them out clean after the first two rounds, it's going to be very hard for anyone to stop him at that point, because there will be two big nights with balloons and everyone rallying to the front-runner.

My main quibble with the piece: it lays out scenarios for gephardt, clark, edwards and clark with pretty equal disregard. (And doesn't even mention lieb, appropriately.) That is kind of silly, I think. Clark is the only one I can see with a reasonable scenario, and Kerry's is almost to silly to commit to print. The other two are in the middle.

That Wesley Clark, though. You never know.
Comment                        11:17:11 AM                        


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Rants from the hinterland. A Denver writer and pretend anthropologist rips into artistic treason and random acts of ethical violence. May also contain gushes of enthusiasm.

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