So Wesley Clark finally made the big speech. As usual, I loved everything he had to say. But not exactly rip-snorting on the delivery. I'd give him an A on content, C+ on delivery. He comes across a little bit meek--a little bit little? a little bit slight?--at the podium. Oddly enough, I can imagine him a lot better addressing us from the oval office, than rally a division of troops for battle.
I can picture him in the oval office, but I hope he has the vitatity to get him there.
I have little doubt the guy would make a spectacular president, but I do have a lot of doubts about spectacular campaigning. So finally we'll get some answers on that. Will he set the electorate on fire like Howard Dean, or bore them to tears like John Kerry? (I still think his biggest handicap in the late start is lacking the time to learn how to campaign. Presidential candidate is a very weird job that almost nobody ever starts out good at, regardless of how many times they've run for other offices. Candidates really do get much better, at least the ones that end up going anywhere. He doesn't have much time to learn.)
We've already got a good idea how he comes across one-on-one, or in interview situations--assuming he maintains the same demeanor he has in the past: wise, articulate, insightful. He can match and possibly beat Howard Dean on that score. And it's always hard to know how somebody will do on TV ads, but I'm betting he licks that one. (From what I've seen so far, Edwards blows everyone away on that score, Dean needs a bit of work, Kerry and Gephardt are hopeless as always. And Lieb, who are you kidding?)
The big questions are debates and out on the stump, rallying the troops to want to come home and work for him. Not an auspicious start on the rallies, and I have a feeling it will never be his strength. Oddly enough, I see a lot of paralells to Dean there, too. Dean seems weakest in front of large groups (from what I've seen). Doesn't really project to a crowd that size, seemed swallowed up by the NY crowd last month, but if you sat down and listened to him, the words continued striking home and he won the crowd over in spite of a few oratorical deficiencies. Clark, I expect, will have to shoot for the same effect. From what I saw today, and what I've seen before, he'll be wearker with the big crowds than Dean. He just doesn't have the command voice, ironically. And he doesn't project the anger that Dean does. He has a bit of the Kerry/Lieberman problem, saying he's angry at the Bush administration, but his body language shouting "Nice guy!"
Debates are a huge unknown. You would think he would acquit himself well, but it's a balancing act: he could hold back to much, or come off petty and shrill. There's really no telling till he gets there--and gets a few under his belt to get his style down.
The main thing, I think, will be to continue talking as straight as he has so far. It's the McCain appeal, the perot appeal, the Dean appeal: smart things to say, unafraid to say them, and none of the mind-numbing politician double-talk swallowing up the impact.
That approach was in full force today. That's his appeal, and that he has to hang onto. If he can keep hold of that and get just a little better at projection, debate well, and hit the right notes in his TV spots, he could give Howard Dean a good run for his money. If not, say hello to the Democratic nominee, Dr. Dean.
I'm not convinced either way, but I'm still cautiously optimistic he can pull it off. And I'm just overjoyed at the prospect of having two strong candidates in competition for the nomination.