The Devil's Excrement





  The Devil's Excrement
Observations focused on the problems of an underdeveloped country, Venezuela, with some serendipity about the world (orchids, techs, science, investments, politics) at large. A famous Venezuelan, Juan Pablo Perez Alfonzo, referred to oil as the devil's excrement. For countries, easy wealth appears indeed to be the sure path to failure. Venezuela might be a clear example of that.
Last updated:
4/2/2007; 9:32:15 PM

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Saturday, November 05, 2005



Hugo “Daddy Warbucks” Chavez went to Mar del Plata to preside over the anti-summit, bury ALCA the free trade agreement of the Americas and become leader of the Third World. With another one of his magnanimous offers, Hugo Warbucks offered a “modest” US$ 10 billion of our money to promote the anti-Alca, a sort of trade agreement, not-for profit and without the US.

But while Chavez relished his triumph in presiding over the marchers, the fact was that there was little of Summit at the anti-Summit with Chavez being the only one of the Presidents that participated in it, sitting next to former soccer star and more recent drug addict Diego Maradona (below left) and many of the usual suspects,

The question was where were the rest, the Ortega’s and all of the other leftwing leaders and aspiring leaders of the Continent? In hiding? What where they afraid of? Argentina’s President Kirchner failed to show up, Fidel was not invited and sent eternal leftwing music icon Silvio Rodriguez to represent him and Lula Da Silva knows better than risk the well being of his people.

But Chavez could care less, shouting “Homeland or death”, praising Che Guevara, using swear words generously and trying to charm the 38,000 present with his enfant terrible attitude. Simultaneously, they staged their own march in Caracas, using the same signs exported to Argentina, as the dummy below has the same sign as the dummy above did. Today the local Chavista paper called Vea noted the march and called Alca "dead" as shown below:

Unfortunately, Chavez may pay the price for all of this. The world was actually watching this time around (Venezuelans were forced to watch as all radio and TV stations were forced to show the whole event) as CNN showed the end of the event and the subsequent riots, US flag burnings and violent confrontations by over a thousand protesters, leaving the implied image that Chavez was the leader that brought them there to riot. This, together with Chavez’ insults towards the US president clearly did not sit well with the same Western press that Chavez and his media consultants and spinners have been carefully cultivating and manipulating for the last few years. Even his “friend” Jimmy Carter expressed his dismay at Chavez’ actions, saying it was “completely unjustified” for Chavez to do this and saying he knew that Chavez was a difficult person from his own experience. (Spanish version here)

The Chavez bashing had actually started a day earlier when Ted Koppel in Nightline decided to set the record straight and said that Chavez had used his program as a launch pad for the propagation of lies. Two months ago Chavez made the charges that the US had a plan called “Balboa” to invade Venezuela in Koppel’s program and promised to send partial proof of the documents that Venezuela had “discovered” on the issue. Koppel concluded “After many requests over the last two months, we have received nothing”. Koppel also clarified that there was a “Balboa” in military war games between the US and Spain.

And it continued last night as one TV station after another referred to the Venezuelan President in negative terms. In fact, none of them was even careful enough to note that Chavez only participated in the peaceful part of the protest rally, but blurred over the distinction. It went even further today when a group of Republican Congressmen called Chavez a clown, leaving aside the usual respect that US Congressmen and Senators have shown for our President.

The question is whether this sequence of events from Koppel, through Carter to the US Congressmen was spontaneous or not. We are sure it wasn’t, we think this was all carefully orchestrated by the US spin doctors to begin putting Chavez in a bad light. And I think they won this round.

And then there is ALCA, the free trade treaty that the US is proposing for the Americas to compete with the European Union. ALCA was a non-issue for the Argentinean summit, because its success depends on the success of the upcoming WTO talks, as pointed out by the Brazilian Foreign Minister even before the Summit began and reiterated by the OAS Secretary Insulza, who kept giving interviews saying progress would be difficult without the WTO talks first.

Chavez and his advisers knew this and Vice-President Rangel called ALCA a corpse in an advanced state of decomposition. Meanwhile Chavez kept saying he had to come to bury ALCA and promote ALBA for which he offered US$ 10 billion as Venezuela’s contribution, money that could certainly be used to reduce poverty in his own land, but Chavez is certainly too busy giving it away elsewhere, spending it in foolish state ventures and wasting it subsidies where corruption takes big chinks of the money. He no longer seems to relish the role of leader of Venezuela he wants something bigger and he appears to want it now.

Reaction was swift by the US and its partners (part of the same strategy?) as Mexican President Fox quickly went on the offensive and called for the members of Mercosur (Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay and Venezuela) to stop blocking the free trade agreement and threatening to leave them out of the pact if they continued their strategy. In fact, Fox called for a resolution on the issue before the end of the summit and that ALCA be included in the declaration, basically creating a standoff in the declaration being completed. The President of El Salvador also defended ALCA saying they had not come to bury it and he was sure 80% of it would be functioning within two years.  In the end 29 countries signed for Alca and the Mercosur and Venezuela said  the conditions are not there for it. But they will be. As the other 29 countries press for it, the mercosur countries will join the fray.

And while Chavez tried to spin it as a victory, the truth is that ALCA may not be in the form that even Chavez’s partners in Mercosur want it, but they all want it and want to be part of it. Few countries have the luxury of Venezuela which sells mostly basic commodities and few finished products. Most of those countries want to diversify exports and need better access to the US market and that is why they will join ALCA eventually no matter what Chávez says or wants. If Venezuela does not, it will be another step for our country to be closer to being Africa than America.

Thus, there was no burial of the free trade agreement, but we did see the beginning of a definite media offensive against the Venezuelan President led by the US. Bush did not expect much from the Mar de Plata meeting, but Chavez thought he would score a victory, but he didn’t. Chavez belived the final declaration will not have the word ALCA in it, but the it did with the majority of the countries favoring it. By making it an issue, he may have lost the battle and lost part of the large effort he has made in making the international media love him.

Next year the WTO meeting will take place and that will lead to ALCA being joined by most Latin American countries.

Where Venezuela will be in all of this, is anybody’s guess.


9:32:14 PM    comment []


With the excuse that they were looking for reporter Patricia Poleo, 50 members of the intelligence police (DISIP) raided a local hotel where a political act by opposition groups that are calling for people to invoke Art. 350 of the Venzuelan Constitution was taking place. Art. 350 calls for the people not to recognize any regime which goes agaisnt the country's values, democratic rights or violates human rights. This was simply harrasment, you can find the pictures in Noticiero Digital. Below two of them, one with a view of the room as the intelligence police rushed in the room when Antonio Ledezma was speaking, the other a close-up of the jacket of one of the cops where someone had stuck a "350" sticker. Way to go!



4:13:06 PM    comment []



When he was leaving the Cathedral this morning, the Attorney General Prosecutor Isaias Rodriguez said that the person being investigated whose inmuminity will need to be removed is an active General, Gral. Jaime Escanlante the Head of CORE I. Escalante has been quite visible in large drug busts in the area near the border with Colombia. Rodriguez also said there were three more people involved, one from the financial sector, another military and a third one that "will not surprise anyone.

Rodriguez added that this is the result of a five month investaigation. Hold it! Did't he say last Decemeber that the case was "almost solved". How about other deatils like Danilos Anderosn's wealth on a salary of US$ 1,100 a month? Or the money found in his apartment (US$ 500,000), his two apartments and ski jets? How about the blocking of streets prior to the explosion near the site where it took place by the intelligence police? Or the presence of high ranking authorities like the Vice-President minutes after the explosion despite the risk implied?

He also said that the explosive device was not made in Venezuela and that the CIA did not particiapte neither in the explosion, nor in the activation of the device, only in helping those responsible escape teh country (But they are here?). There were three meetings, one in Maracaibo with eight people present, one in Panama with 11 and another in Miami, no number specified. He closed by saying that the cosnpiracy was to destabilize and the original goal was Chavez or him, but they settled on Anderson. This last part is the least plausible and credible of all the things he said.

3:00:02 PM    comment []



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