The Devil's Excrement





  The Devil's Excrement
Observations focused on the problems of an underdeveloped country, Venezuela, with some serendipity about the world (orchids, techs, science, investments, politics) at large. A famous Venezuelan, Juan Pablo Perez Alfonzo, referred to oil as the devil's excrement. For countries, easy wealth appears indeed to be the sure path to failure. Venezuela might be a clear example of that.
Last updated:
4/2/2007; 9:38:15 PM

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Monday, January 23, 2006



A Judge imposed censorhip on the Venezuelan media today as ordered from above by the autocrats. The order by the judge forbids "any type of publication, diffusion or exhibition of the files of the case relating to the terrorist attempt in which Danilo Anderson lost his life, as well as those that make reference to the private life of the witness Vasquez de Armas...because it is the job of the state to protect his dignity as a human being, his honor, his decorum, intimacy and physical integrity, since it corresponds to the State to guarantee the the good process of the judiciary process which has as its goal determining the materialand intellectual authorship of the terrorsit attempt that ended the life of Danilo Anderson"

This is called pure censorship, what they are trying to protect is that the "super-witness" is a criminal, with a track record for impersonating and suplanting others and who was in a Colombian jail when he claims the meeting to discuss the Anderson murder took place. None of these charges has been refuted by the PRoscutor's office as the media has dug them up. What the judge is trying to protect is the crummy and sloppy job the Prosecutor has done in the case, where he invented evidence and created a witness whose credibility leaves a lot to be desired while he has failed to investigate leads suggesting there was an extortion ring surrounding Anderson and some of the same prosecutors involved in this case.

Another very sad day for what is left of Venezuela's democracy, we have a new Pedro Estrada. What is next?

8:38:27 PM    comment []



Paul Esqueda is an old and very good friend, a true friend, whom I met too many years ago in my first job in Venezuela where we shared some very exciting times. Paul is an electronic engineer by training with a Ph.D.from the same university where he is today Head of a Department. He is a verty versatile and competent person, those that can do anything they set their minds to, who has been President of Venezuela's premier engineering research institution, which we helped create. From there he became a Professor at Venezuela's leading business school IESA, where he was later appointed Dean of the Graduate program. For family reasons he is now temporarily abroad, from where he follows with passion what is going on in Venezuelan politics. He has decided to take up the challenge I made and will write a four part series on the opposition candidacies. He will begin today with "In Search of a candidate", will follow it with "The Job", then "The ideal candidate vs.the real candidates" and he will close with "The best choice". Thanks to Paul for his effort and enjoy.

In search of a candidate by
Paul Esqueda

Searching for a candidate for any position, not just the Venezuelan opposition presidential candidate, ideally requires that you put together a list of responsibilities, goals to be accomplished and challenges to be assumed by the selected individual. With that information then you can proceed to elaborate a profile with the specific skills and background needed for the position, in this case for the presidency of Venezuela. Finally, you compare the profile of the ideal candidate with that of the available candidates to find the best match. However, the challenges in the case of the presidential race in Venezuela are so overwhelming that they require a brief analysis of the current and historical political context before one analyzes the pros and cons of the candidates that seem to have a good opportunity. This is the first part of a series of four essays about the search of a presidential candidate in Venezuela.

The main challenges

Something must have gone really wrong in the last 47 years of democracy given the current mess that we find ourselves in Venezuela. Our educational system failed to instill in our citizens the basic principles of democracy. How is it possible that the incumbent president has been granted so much power? He has absolute control of the National Assembly, the Supreme Court, the National Electoral Council, the General Attorney’s Office, and the Armed Forces just to mention the most important key centers of power in the country. The leadership of all those institutions has decided to blindly follow the current president’s orders and wishes at the expense of democracy. In other words, basic constitutional rights like dissidence and free speech are being sacrificed for the sake of a single command to fight off the so called enemies of the state. Every day one new enemy is created: US imperialism, the church, the opposition, Mexico and so on. Conspiracy theories are now abundant. Where were those guys that currently govern Venezuela educated? In my opinion, there is a terrible crisis of integrity and ethical values that has peaked in the last six years.

Things get worse when one includes corruption in the analysis. It seems like Venezuelan public funds mostly from the oil industry are up for grabs but only for those selected Chavistas that are “more equal than others.[1]” This brief analysis poses one of the main challenges for the opposition presidential candidate if he is ever elected. In other words, whoever takes over the presidency will have to change the whole mindset of most Venezuelans that seem to find in corrupted populism the solutions to our economic development and well being. Our candidate has to be a person of the utmost integrity, with a proven historic record of high ethical standards and strong convictions about a free democratic society. This requirement may seem evident but it should be pointed out that when Chavez emerged as a potential candidate early in 1998 his credentials were never thoroughly questioned. Almost 60% of Venezuelans with voting rights thought he was the right choice according to the results of that election. The charming yet hollow and shallow rhetoric of Chavez cultivated everyone back in 1998 to the extent that rich and poor voted for him. He had overwhelming support then. During the last six years, Chavez has been consistently above 30% popularity according the polls carried out by Datanalisis and others. This is very high by any standards. How can an individual that has proven to be so undemocratic get so much popular support?

Perhaps, one explanation is that the majority of our citizens do not understand the full meaning of democracy. On the other hand, the Government has done a good job of giving the impression that eliminating poverty is their first priority by moving to public policies of direct subsidies to the poor. The Government becomes the main provider to most Venezuelans. Consequently, it tends to take control of all economic activity leaving out the private sector. These actions gain a lot of popular support for Government and they are more appealing to the average citizen. However, we all know that historically these types of policies have only short term effects and they generate high dependency. Although direct subsidies may help, the foundations of any modern sustainable society lie on a good mix of free market policies with social programs that address the need of the poor by creating business and job opportunities for all. This second approach to development produces results in the long term and it relies on a strong private sector of the economy. It would seem like the Government has a short term vision of development whereas the opposition groups are thinking more long term. It is not difficult to guess what policy the average citizen is going to favor: the short term approach.

This last consideration leads us to the second and most important challenge. Our candidate has to be able to win the hearts and minds of most of the Venezuelan voters in a relatively short period of time to defeat Chavez. A favorable outcome will depend a lot on how our candidate frames a message appealing to the average Venezuelan voter. It is not an easy job considering that all the money is on the side of the incumbent and money alone wins a lot of votes regardless of the message. Indeed, money (in the short term) is the message of the Government and as the old adage says “money talks.” In a nut shell, these are the key challenges of our candidate.

[1] George Orwell “Animal Farm”

7:53:17 PM    comment []



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