The Devil's Excrement





  The Devil's Excrement
Observations focused on the problems of an underdeveloped country, Venezuela, with some serendipity about the world (orchids, techs, science, investments, politics) at large. A famous Venezuelan, Juan Pablo Perez Alfonzo, referred to oil as the devil's excrement. For countries, easy wealth appears indeed to be the sure path to failure. Venezuela might be a clear example of that.
Last updated:
4/2/2007; 9:43:56 PM

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Sunday, April 30, 2006


You have to feel sorry for Peru, having to choose between Alan Garcia or Ollanta Humala. In fact, Chavez seems to be a hybrid between the two: Humala is a former military populist who uses a confrontational style; Alan Garcia is a populist social democrat. Garcia allowed corruption to be rampant during his term in office while he innovated in economic matters to levels that almost drove Peru to bankruptcy, disregarding all economic knowledge. He thought he knew better. Sound familiar? Maybe that is why Chavez dislikes him so much, they are so similar. Chavez now criticizes Toledo for siding with Garcia, but all Toledo was doing was asking Chavez to stay out of Peru’s Presidential race.  Curiously while Peru recalled its Ambassador, Venezuela announced it will not do the same. This is obvious; Chavez and Humala need a conduit for Venezuela's help in the Peruvian Presidential race. Jorge Rodriguez has been advising Humala, now that he is an "expert" on electoral shenanigans.

Chavez seems to be extending abroad the style in which he has treated his fellow countrymen. It is the same confrontational style, disregarding civilized concepts of coexistence and diplomacy.  Alan Garcia seems to be snapping back at Chavez at every turn, suggesting to me that his advisors think that he will gain form this.  I think he will, given the image that Humala has within Peru and the fact that over 70% of the voters are looking for whom to vote. Garcia said Chavez was hypocritical as he mantained very good relations with the US.

Petkoff also got into the argument, challenging Chavez to break relations with the US and not to threaten smaller countries, saying this is typical behavior of a bully. 

All in all, a very depressing scenario for our neighbor Peru, only Fujimori seems to be missing from the picture to make matters even worse. (But some of his formers advisors seems to be floating around Humala). Come election day, it will just be a matter of which of the two candidates can destroy Peru faster. If experience counts, Garcia has the upper hand. If not, Humala leads.

What a depressing choice!


8:53:42 PM    comment []



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