The Devil's Excrement





  The Devil's Excrement
Observations focused on the problems of an underdeveloped country, Venezuela, with some serendipity about the world (orchids, techs, science, investments, politics) at large. A famous Venezuelan, Juan Pablo Perez Alfonzo, referred to oil as the devil's excrement. For countries, easy wealth appears indeed to be the sure path to failure. Venezuela might be a clear example of that.
Last updated:
4/2/2007; 9:49:49 PM

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Tuesday, July 18, 2006






Yesterday, there was a fire at the Amuay refinery in Paraguana, Venezuela's largest refinery complex. I could go on and on about the lack of investment, the fact that there are more accidents, deaths and fires that there used to be before the 20,000 oil workers were fired in 2003, I could tell you this is the same stuff that made the Caracas-La Guaira viaduct collapse, but I wouldn't. What has really irked me about this is the lack of information as well as the attempt by PDVSA and the authorities to hide the real nature and scope of the accident.

First of all, we have seen press releases in which PDVSA claims that the number of accidents is lower than it had been in recent years. This is absolutely false! This is a lie! PDVSA has never had the level of accidents that are present today, nor the level of injured and deaths. In the "old" PDVSA no unit was ever shutdown for more than three months, while we already know that the cracking unit at El Palito has been shutdown for a long time due to an accident, part of the Cardon refinery is still down after an accident last year in which six people died and only this year, Paraguana has had five fires, five deaths and over two dozen injured. (Two fires during the last week alone!). This was unheard of before 2003! In fact, the magnitude of this fire never occurred before 2003 and this is the third large fire to take place.

But the worst part is the attempt to make it look like this is "normal". Pro-Chavez reporters interview former oil executives and suggest that fires like this were "hidden" by the old PDVSA, as if you can hide 50 meter flames shooting out of a refinery surrounded by people. But even worse, we are told that everything is normal, nothing has changed and the plant will go into normal operation very soon, as soon as next week even.

Look at that burnt tower (Thanks Mora!)! Does it look like it will go back into operation anytime soon? In fact, outside experts say this part of the plant will not go back into operation anytime soon. Moreover, they even suggest the whole section may have to be rebuilt before it can brought back into operation. Thus, another 70,000 plus barrels go out of Venezuela's production of gasoline and these guys are just smiling. Do I hear sovereignty anyone?

The "people" have a right to know what is going on, but they don't. PDVSA has become a huge blackbox. Over a month ago Minister Ramirez held a press conference because, finally, PDVSA's 2004 financials were being submitted to the SEC. We were told all sorts of junk about results, even lies like production numbers had been audited, when KPMG does not audit such things. Almost two months later, you go into the EDGAR database, write PDVSA and the financials (20F report), which are already late only by twelve months, are not yet there. And he actually said they had filed them!

Never had the information coming out of PDVSA been so bad. In the bad, bad days of the fourth Republic, Congress had to approve contracts and bids while now the Ministry tells Congress what to do and contracts are never discussed. Mysterious companies trade the crude for PDVSA, something which used to be done in-house. There are very few open bidding processes and the Minister is also the President of PDVSA, a company filled by incompetent military making decisions which will negatively impact it for years to come. Oh yeah! I forgot, according to PDVSA’s 2006 budget, salary per employee will be at an all time high at the company. Mind you, I really don’t mind if PDVDA pays their people the best salaries in the country, but a certain former military hose first name is Hugo got to power by making a point about the high salaries of this special class of Venezualns, only to replace them by an even more special one Guess what! They are even more special today in terms of what they make, but they do not have the technical qualifications of their predecessors, just look at the picture!

And then we are told that PDVSA is stopping the sale of gasoline to some CITGO gas stations because it was “bad” business. Sure, while refinery companies like Valero have no capacity and are basically printing money we are supposed to believe that CITGO can lose money refining and selling gasoline. Yeah and I believe in Santa Claus too!

Of course, going forward things will only get worse. PDVSA will no longer be required to file its financials with the SEC. The shareholders, read all the Venezuelans, will no longer have access to the financials. There will not even be shareholders meeting even to comply with the formalities of the law.

Yeap, ahora Venezuela es de todos, nope, del autocrata? You bet!


9:35:06 PM    comment []



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