The Devil's Excrement





  The Devil's Excrement
Observations focused on the problems of an underdeveloped country, Venezuela, with some serendipity about the world (orchids, techs, science, investments, politics) at large. A famous Venezuelan, Juan Pablo Perez Alfonzo, referred to oil as the devil's excrement. For countries, easy wealth appears indeed to be the sure path to failure. Venezuela might be a clear example of that.
Last updated:
4/2/2007; 9:57:48 PM

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Thursday, November 09, 2006



This week, the Venezuelan Government announced that it would issue the “Bono Del Sur” a combined issue of a Venezuelan bond with an equal part composed of two Argentinean bonds.

After enriching some of the Government’s buddies with the sale of Argentinean bonds for months, the Government decided to give the rich a nice Xmas gift, bonus and subsidy right before the election.

And the poor you may ask? Well, you know…we all want to change the world, as the Beatles song used to say.

You see, this bond is simply an outrageous gift for those that can afford buying it and converting the Argentinean part into US$ at the incredibly bargain rate of Bs. 2330 per US$, compared to the parallel market rate which ahs been hovering around Bs. 3,000 per US$ for the last few weeks.

It is also a gift for the banks and other financial institutions, which will buy the Venezuelan part of the bond, a dollar denominated bond, which pays interest only in Bolivars at whatever the official rate maybe and which will pay capital also in Bolivars when it matures in 2017. You see, people and corporations will buy the whole Bono del Sur only to get at the US$ from the Argentinean part, but they will quickly sell the Venezuelan part to the financial institutions who are interested in getting them, because they will be protected from future devaluations. (Banks are limited in how many dollars they can hold as a percentage of their equity)

The third beneficiary is the “poor” country of Argentina, which has a higher GDP per capita than Venezuela and whose citizens also have a much higher educational level than Venezuela.

Meanwhile while banks are given some protection the poor of this country have absolutely no protection from all of the financial shenanigans of this Government, which are slowly creating conditions which are simply untenable and may only be corrected in the future by a devaluation.

Of course, the autocrat today was bragging that the issuing of this bond was an “economic luxury” showing how ignorant he is about what is being done under his so called leadership. This is not a luxury, this is an irresponsible waste of money, which subsidizes the least needy and imposes a new debt burden on everyone in a country which has enjoyed in 2006, the biggest windfall in any twelve month period of its history. About the only benefit it has is the fact that it will sterilize US$ 1 billion of the monetary liquidity, which in any case only exists because of the irresponsible spending policies of this cynical Government.

Things are not going to be all right like in the song…

12:51:01 AM    comment []




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Last update: 4/2/2007; 9:57:49 PM.
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