The Devil's Excrement





  The Devil's Excrement
Observations focused on the problems of an underdeveloped country, Venezuela, with some serendipity about the world (orchids, techs, science, investments, politics) at large. A famous Venezuelan, Juan Pablo Perez Alfonzo, referred to oil as the devil's excrement. For countries, easy wealth appears indeed to be the sure path to failure. Venezuela might be a clear example of that.
Last updated:
4/2/2007; 10:03:34 PM

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Thursday, February 22, 2007



(In Spanish here)

So, today President Hugo Chavez proudly announced that once again Venezuela will buy Argentinean bonds to sell to Venezuelans as a way of reducing local monetary liquidity. This time it will be to the tune of US$ 750 million.

This operation is simply indefensible, there is no justification for Venezuela acting as a bridge for Argentina, just because that country acted irresponsibly when it defaulted in its debt. This is simply a subisidy for that country b the Venezuelan people. Moreover, other than political, there is no benefit for Vemezuela or its citizens by doing this. In fact, if the whole Bono del Sur issue announced by Chavez of it were to have all Venezuelan components, would decrease costs for the country in the future in its debt service.

The Government could, for example, issue the same US$ 750 million as a new Venezuelan bond with lower coupon and use the proceeds for the sale to buy outstanding bonds of the Republic which are more expensive. But clearly no such luck, the goals of the autocrat/dictator are more important than the future of the Venezuelan people who are once again cheated of what rightfully belongs to them. A poorer country subsidizing a richer one, only this stupid revolution could even think of that. Argentina's GDP per capita is almost triple that of Venezuela, as simple as that.

The most laughable part of the issue is to say they will give priority to "small investors". I know nobody who would be interested in an Argentinean US dollar denominated Sovereign bond and a Bs. denominated bond (TICC) indexed to the US$ that yields 5%, which is what the Venezuelan part is all about. Only banks can be interested in the latter. Most "small investors" simply view this as a cheaper way of investing in greenbacks, they buy the Bono del Sur, sell the Argentinean bond in exchange for US dollars and sell the TICC at a profit. In the end they bought dollars at a cheaper rate and take the money to their account abroad. There are also speculators, they buy the bond sell the parts, including the dollars in the parallel market and make a tidy profit.

Yeap, it is all definitely very revolutionary, what a disgrace!

10:16:20 PM    comment []



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Last update: 4/2/2007; 10:03:34 PM.
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