The Devil's Excrement





  The Devil's Excrement
Observations focused on the problems of an underdeveloped country, Venezuela, with some serendipity about the world (orchids, techs, science, investments, politics) at large. A famous Venezuelan, Juan Pablo Perez Alfonzo, referred to oil as the devil's excrement. For countries, easy wealth appears indeed to be the sure path to failure. Venezuela might be a clear example of that.
Last updated:
12/1/2007; 10:13:13 AM

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Monday, November 05, 2007



Chavez’ former Minister of Defense Raul Baduel, the man that single-handedly brought Chavez back to power in April 2002, came out today to voice his strong opposition to the proposed reform, which “if approved would consummate in practice a coup d’etat in Venezuela”

Baduel did not mince words saying “unnecessarily and trampling over procedures, using fraudulent procedures they want to impose a proposal that requires a wide consultation process via a Constituent assembly”

“Any Constitution that reduces regulation (on the Government) and takes away limits to power must be viewed with suspicion”

Baduel called on Venezuelans to inform themselves and defense their rights and “not allow their power to be taken away from them” and on the Armed Forces to be alert about the content of the articles approved.

“This is not a Constitutional Reform, it is not a revision…it is a transformation of the State, thus it should have been assumed by a National Constituent Assembly”

“At this moment, both the Executive Power as well as the Legislative Power are taking power away from the people altering their values, the principles and structure of the State without having the ability to do so”

Thus, Baduel concluded that he wanted to publicly manifest his rejection to the proposal; because it was regressive one which reduces the advances achieved in constitutional rights since 1999 and urged people to vote NO on the proposal.

This is a very interesting development. Baduel coincides with the view that this is simply a coup against the Venezuelan Constitution and raises all of the relevant issues abut the illegality of the proposed reform. His words are too strong for this to be some sort of trick. It will be interesting to see the Government’s reactions and whether other voices join him.

The downside is that Baduel has personal ambitions, was a strong collaborator in many abuses of this Government and has his own personal political agenda, he is also former military and who knows what he wants…In fact. his announcement even comes with the creation of his blog with a statement on his position on the reform.

What does Baduel really want? Stay tuned...


6:43:43 PM    comment []


The democratic wisdom and goodwill of autocrat/dictator Hugo Chavez when referring to those that disagree with him yesterday during his rally pro reform of the Constitution:

On the middle class that lives in the east of Caracas:

"Imagine a million people marching towards the East of Caracas burning palm trees and other trees. We would be that million, not you, because you don't even reach one million. There would no stone left of this oligarchy without a fatherland"


On the church that has opposed the proposed Constitutional Reform:

"The Cardinal and the bishops are leaving the same pile of shit. Mr. Cardinal you continue with the same pile of shit. Ali Primera used to say, don't look for the Cardinal because God is happy with the revolution"

On student marches:

"Next time you have to evaluate if you give them the permit to march, because you are going to give it to them so that they can come and burn downtown Caracas. What Government can be so weak to give a permit to some fascists that are threatening to burn cars with people inside?"

On the leaders of the protests:

"I have ordered to open case file on them…Barreto, open cases against them…because they are looking for a dead body… what happened at the CNE was planned. I am sure they were sorry nothing bad happened, but they want a bloody show. Don't let yourselves (the students) be used to march like peasants to a bloodshed"

On the media:

"What is this Conatel? What is this Barreto, Rodriguez and Bernal? Jesse Chacon (Minister of Telecommunications). The TV stations call for a march with no point of return (sic) and nothing happens. Apply the law. And if you don't dare do it, I sign it. Each of us has to assume his own responsibility."

On what may happen if he loses

"I prefer a peaceful outcome, but if for any reason I fail, I would go to the mountains of Falcon, the plains of Portuguesa, Lara and the South of the Orinoco. Is that what they want? If I have to grab a rifle, I have no problem in ending my life like that"

Spoken like a true democrat, no?


6:26:13 PM    comment []



One of the things that has always amazed me about the silly revolution is the ability of its members and supporters to believe that anyone can do anything. Thus, Mathematicians are named Ministers of Finance, Doctors who treat varicose veins Ministers of Health and people with no managerial experience are put in charge of complex institutions.
 
Even worse, if the fact that even when they fail to understand how the system they have imposed works, revolutionaries want to be in the limelight and are willing to make statements about things that they clearly do not have even the most basic grasp on.
 
Case in point was the interview in today’s El Nacional with none other than Deputy Simon Escalona, Vice President of the Finance Committee of the National Assembly, who looks dumb, dumber and dumbest with the statements he made.
 
Just the beginning of the interview is priceless:
 
 “For us, the parallel (foreign exchange) market does not exist”.
 
Wow, I am not sure who “us” is, but he is definitely very much out of a loop, as the Government has spent US$ 12 billion in trying to lower this non-existent parallel market dollar rate and in fact, will sell another US$ 1.5 billion bonds with that goal next week. Moreover, over the last two years the Government sold more than US$ 8 billion directly into that market, with no transparency and making millionaires of quite a few bankers and commisionists, But I guess Escalona was not told.
 
But let’s continue it, when he says:
 
“This is mostly a mediatic thing”
 
Jeez, I love the standard explanation of blaming it on a “mediatic” thing. As I was talking about with a fellow blogger today, we are not even sure exactly what that means, but when something does not work in Venezuela it is always some sort of “mediatic” conspiracy, never Government incompetence.
 
Deputy Escalona then asks: “Tell me, where I can find this market… those that do it are committing a crime”
 
Well, he could first go and ask the Ministry of Finance who it has sold structured notes or Argentinean bonds to or he could go to the Government banks which placed so many illegal orders in the last Bono del Sur III and ask them who and where they sell the dollars obtained from it. He could also go to the many new brokers in Caracas, dozens of them brand new and devoted only to this phantom market,, but I imagine nobody would like to work with him given his PEP (Politically Exposed Person) category.
 
As for it being a crime, the law approved by the same Finance Committee of the National Assembly that he is part of, explicitly says that securities markets are exempt from it. What is illegal is to trade currency, bills, checks and the like.
 
Then, he comes in the area of dumber and dumbest when he says:
 
“We are going to put in the law that merchants will have to place a sign saying, “These products were acquired with dollars at the official rate of exchange””
 
What if they weren’t? Is he aware of the delays in Cadivi in handing out foreign currency? Or the fact that not everything is in the list to obtain foreign currency? Or is he saying that products not purchased with CADIVI dollars can not be imported? Try that, the country will come to a standstill.
 
In fact, he recognizes the existence of this market and how positive they can be, when he says:
 
“ There is no shortage of Scotch Whisky”
 
And that is true; shortages occur when you regulate products or restrict foreign currency for them. That is why there is no milk, black beans and the like, these products are both controlled in price and access via CADIVI is cumbersome and bureaucratic. In contrast, Scotch whisky, by order of his Latin American autocratic idol, receives no dollars from the exchange control office and its prices are not regulated. Thus much like caviar, champagne, imported cereals and candies and the like, you can find shelves at supermarkets stuffed with them.
 
It’s called free markets…
 
But that is s lesson that dumb, dumber and dumbest will never be able to understand.


12:19:21 AM    comment []



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