The Devil's Excrement





  The Devil's Excrement
Observations focused on the problems of an underdeveloped country, Venezuela, with some serendipity about the world (orchids, techs, science, investments, politics) at large. A famous Venezuelan, Juan Pablo Perez Alfonzo, referred to oil as the devil's excrement. For countries, easy wealth appears indeed to be the sure path to failure. Venezuela might be a clear example of that.
Last updated:
1/1/2008; 10:14:03 PM

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Thursday, December 27, 2007



It has now become a very complicated game of puppets and puppeteers in which its is hard to distinguish who is manipulating or trying to manipulate whom, in a perverse game with the FARC and its hostages. At the start, it seemed as if the FARC and Uribe had the upper hand as puppet masters. Chavez fell for their game and he was getting very little out of it. Thinking that the FARC’s wishes were somewhat aligned with him, he played along and came out empty. After weeks of promises, the FARC delivered little, he pressed too hard and got Uribe mad, which led to their spat.

Uribe got what he wanted at the time, his popularity shot up and Chavez thought he would get more votes in the referendum, as some polls suggested, but maybe the Colombian population that votes in Venezuela had in the end a larger effect, since Chavez' lukewarm supporters did not go and vote on Dec. 2nd, sealing his defeat..

And as Chavez lost his Constitutional gamble on Dec. 2nd. he found himself losing all over. A spat with the King here, a spat with Uribe there and a surprising rejection of his project from his supporters was certainly not a promising framework for his future. And as problems in Venezuela become harder to figure out, Chávez traveled and likely got some advice from the master puppeteer in Havana, who suggested he try to get something out of the FARC, just for show. Temporary relief. He fell for it and so has the media.

The FARC, who could care little about Chavez in the end, offered a very token gift of three hostages, out of the more than 400 in their hands and certainly not the big international catch that everyone is waiting for, as Ingrid Betancourt is not in the package.

But leave it to Chavez and his Cuban media masters to play it up and the stupid international media to fall for it. Chávez held a press conference yesterday, doing the only thing he enjoys and knows something about: military operations. So, while problems mount in Venezuela, including more than 200 homicides over the Christmas season, which must certainly be a new record, Chavez likely put his military uniform and played with little mock up planes and helicopters, reliving his days of failure as a military Commander, but enjoying himself. What else could he ask for?

The FARC meanwhile, gave up very little, but managed to slightly undermine their archenemy Alvaro Uribe, who was forced to accept the military operation cooked up in the depths of the Miraflores Palace. But Uribe keeps playing his game, he knows the FARC have their own agenda and have never given up anything of significance and will in the end make Chavez look bad.

Chávez meanwhile was relishing his role as a newly found “humanitarian”, which would almost be comic, except that it is simply pathetic. Never in the whole process has Chavez asked to have any of the Venezuelan hostages released. While not all eighty of them are in the hands of the FARC, as mostly they represent simply financial transactions in which if the relatives pay, the hostages will be released, in what has become the standard transaction of that guerrilla/mercantile institution called the FARC.

Of course, a true humanitarian would have released this Christmas or prior Christmases not one, but dozens of his political prisoners, held without trial or evidence, who languish in the country’s jails without even receiving due process. Remarkably, this nouveau humanitarian refuses to give others, some of them former friends and colleagues, the same treatment given to him when he got an unconditional pardon after leading to failure an unconstitutional and bloody coup that left many dead, mostly innocent civilians, in various cities of Venezuela.

The FARC only wants to get rid of Uribe, to impose who knows what type of regime, after thousands have died in a bloody and stupid war, like all wars, that they don’t seem to want to end for the simple reason that they don’t want to give up the power they have. Chavez at the same time, wants to get rid of Uribe and get someone more friendly to his own international ambitions, now that his own national goals have been put on hold for the time being by his “people”. Uribe on the other hand just wants to annihilate the FARC and consolidate his power, both politically and militarily. If he can do Chavez some damage in the process, then even better.

Meanwhile, as it is usually the case when politicians and military factions are involved, it is the people that lose. In Venezuela, our lame duck President rather than paying attention to our myriads of problems, creates this circus of distraction to hide his own incompetence and his inability to do better, including the release of our own Venezuelan hostages. In Colombia, the hostages will hear about this token signal by their captors and get their spirits up, but one would need over 100 similar operations and commitments from the FARC to have everyone freed. They will never do it.

Meanwhile, the Court jesters and recipients of Venezuela’s welfare, fly in to be in the limelight, from the former President Kirchner to Evo, trapped today in his own political labyrinth, go join the chorus and the cheerleading, as if this was some form of success: luring a bloody terrorist group to release an irrelevant number of hostages in order to prop up their magnanimous friend.

And the traditional media will be there to describe and broadcast with their customary stupidity the Grand Guignol set up in this silly multinational confrontation. The same media that is blamed for creating imaginary shows and plots out of nothing, such as suitcases full of cash and the like. Except this time around they will be flown in, wined and dined for the benefit of the show. And they will make something out of nothing…

And the perverse show will just go on…

9:29:41 PM    comment []



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