The Devil's Excrement
Observations focused on the problems of an underdeveloped country, Venezuela, with some serendipity about the world (orchids, techs, science, investments, politics) at large. A famous Venezuelan, Juan Pablo Perez Alfonzo, referred to oil as the devil's excrement. For countries, easy wealth appears indeed to be the sure path to failure. Venezuela might be a clear example of that.
Last updated:
8/1/2008; 11:04:00 PM


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Sunday, July 27, 2008


One of the failures of the Chavista revolution is to attempt to create a system, which so little resembles what the average Venezuelan wants out of life or believes in. In fact, Chavez has taken advantage of that buying his popularity using the billions of Bolivars he has had at his disposal. Some Misiones were simply that, pay people to do nothing instead of work, but have them attend his rallies at will. No money, no attendance, as the average Venezuelan has such a hard time making ends meet, that there is little time to volunteer for party duty.

Thus, today the autocrat looked out of touch and detached when he snapped at the very workers that help produce and broadcast his Sunday variety show Alo Presidente.

He first told an engineer working to produce the program that he could volunteer for the show, rather than charge for it. Later, he complained about the union contract of the cameramen of VTV, that paid them the equivalent of eight hours for each hour worked, which he called degenerate, perverse and vagrants.

Chavez went as far as suggesting that he may do something about it if VTV workers don’t want to renegotiate the contract, reminding the workers of what he did with PDVSA.

I find the whole display absurd given the reality of Venezuela and the fact that those that surround Chavez make orders of magnitude more than these people and that the difference between the salary of a Minister or Supreme Court Justice has increased dramatically since Chavez took over.

But either Chavez is out of touch and disengaged, or the PDVSA example is simply extremely inappropriateand obscene.. PDVSA workers make today, on average, more than they did in November 2002, before the oil strike, and the number of workers has increased by almost three quarters, going from 44,000 to 70,000, so PDVSA is not precisely an example of sacrifice for the revolution, as they also enjoy what is certainly the best benefits in Venezuela’s labor markets.

But beyond that Chavez seems to be living a reality that is much different than what most Venezuelans have to deal with daily. Most union contracts have been delayed in their renegotiations and certain regions, like Guayana, where Chavismo claims to be leading in, depend strongly on such contracts. In fact, Chavez took over Sidor when the union could not agree on terms with management that would have made steel workers make every month, as much as full professors at Venezuelan university. Is he willing to give them that now?

In fact, I find it hard to believe that calling workingmen perverse and suggesting they should charge less will sell well in whatever the local version of Peoria is. It is Chavez himself that travels around the Globe giving gifts and telling us how rich we are. How can he really not expect the average Venezuelan to participate in the wealth that they have yet to see?

Because these cameramen and engineers are not that well to do. They probably don’t own their own home, use public transportation and are struggling to make ends meet in the face of 30-40% inflation for their cost of living. They probably have more than one job and the idea of volunteering has not even crossed their mind as they are trying to figure out how to make extra money for whatever they lack.

And today’s’ complaints by the autocrat indicate a degree of isolation much larger than I could have imagined. At a time when corruption cases in the multi million dollar range are the norm, when scandals show how Chavista Governors and Managers buy and use airplanes to travel regularly in luxury, asking the less well to do would seem to be the worst possible thing to do in an electoral year.

Because in the end people are getting tired of promises and revolutions and sacrifices, as things start getting worse, not better and they hear daily that the price of oil has been soaring. It has been ten years now, the IVth. Republic is long forgotten and the US seems like a virtual threat to Venezuela. Crime, inflation and unemployment seem to be the real enemies of the people at this time.

And even Chavez’ threats and ultimatum to his former allies PPT, PCV and MEP seem somewhat detached. His attempt at a single unified party, simply did not work. He has to deal with them now, if he truly wants unity. And threatening to set them aside will in the end only favor the opposition, as any party that feels left out, will likely look for help in the other side. Because they all know that institutionality is very weak on both sides. PSUV was born with lots of members, some forced to register and others induced to register because there was something at the end of the socialist rainbow. But the rainbow seems getting dimmer and the promises fuzzier.

And even the issues seem irrelevant. Does Chavez really think that the use of the Telesur logo constitutes a crime? Does he think that people will find something in it, when the operation “Jaque Mate” yielded the promise of Ingrid Betancourt’s release that he could never deliver on?

Chavez has become detached an isolated and it is only his control over the system that allows him to do what he does. People don’t care about his visit with the King or whether Russia is on our side or not, or selling us weapons or not. People care about their day to day, which Chavez seems to be ignoring more and more.

To most Venezuelans geopolitics are as important or relevant as the latest Paris fashion show, something remote and mysterious, which they may or not read about in the newspapers. But irrelevant either way.

The great communicator of the revolution can no longer walk in the streets with his “people” and seems further and further away from them. He does not understand (or know?) the impact of 48% food inflation in the last twelve months. Or the fear of being robbed everyday after two hours getting back and forth from work. Or why it takes so long to get back and forth. And if he does not understand the significance of these anytime soon, it will be him that will be asking these parties to come back and join him. Without them, it is PSUV that may not survive.


11:32:28 PM    comment []





A friend and former student Efrain, sends me this somewhat mystifying picture taken near Carupano in the Eastern part of Venezuela. It is a ¨Bolivarian Educational Unit¨that goes by the name, I kid you not, of ¨Costilla de Vaca¨, literally Cow´s Rib. Amazing they could not think of a historical figure, battle, regional theme or accomplishment to name the ¨Ünit¨.

But even more mystifying are the drawings of ¨Before¨and ¨Äfter¨. It seems as if all the revolution has done is change one rudimentary tool for another, a scarf over the head here and there, but that's it. I fail to see any real significant change in the before and after pictures.

Which only goes to show how slippery the revolution, its accomplishments and its goals have become even to the hardcore supporters of Chavismo.

7:53:45 PM    comment []



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