The Devil's Excrement





  The Devil's Excrement
Observations focused on the problems of an underdeveloped country, Venezuela, with some serendipity about the world (orchids, techs, science, investments, politics) at large. A famous Venezuelan, Juan Pablo Perez Alfonzo, referred to oil as the devil's excrement. For countries, easy wealth appears indeed to be the sure path to failure. Venezuela might be a clear example of that.
Last updated:
9/1/2008; 8:33:34 PM

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Tuesday, August 19, 2008


It was one of those days. Where do I live? Some bizarre alternate world or simply the silly and amateurish Bolivarian revolution? And it did look silly today, really silly and amateur. It is all smoke and mirrors; reality has nothing to do with it. The people have nothing to do with it. It is just some warped mind planning and thinking what in his deranged mind thinks is “good” without any evaluation of criticism.

And the people sucking up to the autocrat! My God! Where was the opposition? Where was the “private sector”? Is everyone just trying to milk the revolution to the last penny and leave? That seems to be the plan as a strident silence permeated Caracas today, as things got more and more bizarre and there seems no stopping to it:

---There was the Cemex show of course. Red shirts and empty-headed radicals waving flags celebrating the expropriation of the cement company. Funny, if the Venezuelan private sector could not run Cemex (then called Vencemos) efficiently, is there any hope for the incompetent, inefficient and corrupt Chavez administration?

Of course not. It will just be a matter of time. Meanwhile, the Minister of Finance tries to argue that the company is only worth US$ 400 million, because that is what it is worth in the Caracas Stock Market. Thus, you clobber the market, violate its rules, drive away foreign investors from it and then you try to apply “free market” rules to the pricing, proving what a farce the whole thing is. Because Holcin, was paid more than the US$ 400 million the Minister of Finance is quoting, despite being a much smaller company, with a much smaller production of cement.

---Then there is the Comisión Nacional de Valores, the defender of the small investor and supposed to defend the law they swore to represent. They have said nothing ever since Chavez announced the expropriation of all of the cement companies and surprise, surprise! Today they ordered the halting of trading of the shares of Cemex “in order to achieve the transparency of the markets”.

Hello! Did you learn about the Government’s intentions today? Or were you on vacation, because the news has been around and the “halt” in trading came so late, that some shares actually traded today before the news and halt came out. I guess the Comisión Nacional de Valores was in Miami or Margarita this weekend because apparently robolutionaries work less than five days a week.

Of course, this “transparency” did not include respecting the country’s laws. How many times has the securities regulator stopped deals, mergers and buyouts until the price was justified, but in this case allows the Government to trample the law, investors and their own markets. What fools!

---And then, for those that thought the recent passing of 26 Bills is somewhat irrelevant, the “new”, “new” consumer protection agency confiscated exactly 1,670 kilos of rice from the Excelsior Gama supermarket in Santa Eduvigis in the East of Caracas and proceeded to sell it at the subway station nearby. The charge? That the presentation of the rice had not been approved buy the Government and as established by the Head of the “new”, “new” consumer protection agency, “rice sold outside regulation will be sold directly to the public“.

These guys rally believe their BS, in fact, the Head of the newly named agency stood at the subway station selling himself the regulated rice to the public. Imagine his face when a very polite lady, bought a bag, opened it and just threw it all over his face. You just don’t fool around with my food provider seemed to be saying the lady.

---And just when I thought the day was over, I get a press release which confirms that this is all part of Chavez’ gigantic folly. Electricidad de Caracas, nationalized (legally!) a year ago presented its financial results for the first six months of 2008, after the company has been in the hands of the Government for twelve months.

In his short period of time, the robolution has been able to turn the company form a Bs. 130 million profit, to a Bs. 13 million loss. This came accompanied with a drop in 40% of the cash flow of the company and margins shrank by 20%.

Now, think about it, this is a monopoly, you provide electricity, you bill, you get paid. No payment you get the juice shut off. Simple business, no? Well in barely twelve months we Venezuelans are already losing money. Imagine running Cemex’ plans, or Cemex’s commercialization of cement, or very simply, running Banco de Venezuela, in what is a very competitive business in Venezuela.

But I do hope that now that the Ministry of Finance says that Cemex is only worth US$ 400 million, a reporter or someone asks him why did the Chavez Government pay close to US$ 1 billion for Electricidad de Caracas a year ago, after all, it is only worth 319 million in the local stock market today. Why did they overpay? Is that illegal? Doesn’t the law punish this? Shouldn’t we send someone to jail for this?

Of course, robolutionaries go to heaven or to the Swiss bank, while everyone else is banned or sent to jail. Get used to it!

Ask yourself now: Who is next? One day it will be you...


11:48:29 PM    comment []

Ironic that as I write this waiting for Chavista hoodlums to take over Cemex pants, I also read that none other than Hugo Chavez complained tonight to his Minister of land and perennial Cabinet member Elias Jaua to please start pressing on with his Land Bill because in the autocrats words “Elias I want to see results because I have yet to see a single one”

Which coincides with what we have not seen, except that the Land Bill was not passed as part of the package of Bills two and half weeks ago, but was actually approved seven years ago and in the words of the man who created it and sold it as the best thing since warm water was invented. But like most things in his failed revolution, seven years later not even the autocrat can see a single result from that Bill.

In fact, if he was a little bit critical he would realize that the Bill has been a negative for Venezuela, destroying productive lands and leaving in shambles formerly productive farms.

But tonight, the National Guard and a bunch of Chavez' red guards await outside a perfectly run cement plan to take it over so that another folly by the quasi-Dictator can be executed. And soon it will become another failure, but maybe seven years from now, he will ask whatever happened to the cement companies we took over, there is no cement.

And Chavez’ own personal biased could be seen today as his Government reached agreements with Lafarge and Holderbank but not with Cemex, as the Government made goof offers to the first two, but a pitiful one to Cemex, his final revenge against the Mexicans he hates so much. Maybe he tried to join the mariachis when he was young but was rejected. That seems to be the hallmark of his life.

And thus today we have an expropriation and a blatant violation of the Capital Markets Law, but we have not heard anything from the President of the Stock Market, or the President of the Comisión Nacional de Valores or from any politicians, they are probably doing more important things, as property rights and freedom are dramatically subverted by Hugo Chavez.

Thus, another tragic event in the destruction of Venezuela took place today. Who is next you may wonder? Will it be the food division of Polar? Will it be another Spanish Bank? Just think, after all of those giants are taken over, Chavez may go after your property. What will you say then?


12:56:19 AM    comment []



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