The Devil's Excrement





  The Devil's Excrement
Observations focused on the problems of an underdeveloped country, Venezuela, with some serendipity about the world (orchids, techs, science, investments, politics) at large. A famous Venezuelan, Juan Pablo Perez Alfonzo, referred to oil as the devil's excrement. For countries, easy wealth appears indeed to be the sure path to failure. Venezuela might be a clear example of that.
Last updated:
11/1/2008; 11:17:07 PM

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Tuesday, October 21, 2008


On Sunday,
Venezuela had its third large scale blackout of the year. Blackouts occur daily all over the country, but these large scale ones are a new phenomenon which coincidentally has occurred just a year after the Government took over all of the private electricity companies in the country.

As has been the case in each one, the word "sabotage" was mentioned immediately by a number of Government officials, but as usual, there is no evidence of that. Yesterday the Head of the Government's power company admitted it was a bad adjustment in the protection system that led to the blackout, while the usual fanatics, such as the President of the Electric Power workers union, who doubles as a pro-Chavez Deputy of the National Assembly, continued talking about sabotage. Meanwhile the Prosecutor detained the three workers responsible for the bad adjustment.


In fact, the President himself praised the speed with which electricity was restored as evidence of the effectiveness of the state's electric power system. Unfortunately Chavez said that it only took 15 minutes for power to be restored. This must have been for the Presidential palace because I certainly had no lights for over two hours and some parts of the country had to wait as much as six hours to see the light. A Government official actually said about four hours after the blackout that it had been restored in 80% of the country contradicting the President or those that suck up to him by hiding the truth.

So the pantomime continues, while Hugo Chavez promises a refinery one day, a pipeline the next and to solve the electricity problem before the end of the year, nothing happens. A government that does not believe in know how and expertise. Who thinks that anyone can do any job (including being president) is setting back the country a few decades. The money that should have been used to improve the electric power infrastructure of the country was instead used to satisfy another whim by the autocrat. He spent a couple of billion US dollars buying out perfectly functioning electric private companies, while the rest of the power system own by the Government deteriorated. Just look at the power generation plant Planta Centro, a 2 GW plant owned and run by CADAFE, the state’s electric company.  

So, the Government spent money on buying working companies when oil was high, rather than invest in repairing or building new electrical infrastructure.

Substitute electric power for oil, telecom, water services, whatever you like and you know what may happen. Of course, in Chavez' folly oil will stabilize around US$ 100 per barrel, but guess what, it ain't happening, as the Venezuelan oil basket hit US$ 68 last week, down to the levels that gave the Government so much problems in 2007, except that the cost of producing Venezuelan oil is up from around US$ 21 per barrel to US$ 28 per barrel during that period:



10:40:02 PM    comment []



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