The Devil's Excrement





  The Devil's Excrement
Observations focused on the problems of an underdeveloped country, Venezuela, with some serendipity about the world (orchids, techs, science, investments, politics) at large. A famous Venezuelan, Juan Pablo Perez Alfonzo, referred to oil as the devil's excrement. For countries, easy wealth appears indeed to be the sure path to failure. Venezuela might be a clear example of that.
Last updated:
1/1/2009; 6:56:29 PM

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Saturday, December 20, 2008


This is a repost of a post I made on Dec. 18th. For some reason, the file could not be seen in either Explorer and/or Safari (It could be seen in Firefox). I could not figure out the problem, so I am simply reposting it.

Today, OPEC decided to cut oil production and as has been the case every time there has been a decision to cut production; Venezuela has been among the most hawkish countries calling for a 2 million barrel cut. The final decision was to cut 2.2 million barrels a day.

However, OPEC also issued its November report and while Minister Ramirez maybe a hawk when it comes to calling for cuts, he is somewhat sheepish when it comes to cutting Venezuela's production as agreed.

Indeed, if you check on page 35 of the November report, of the earlier 2 million cut in October, OPEC members have only cut 739.7 thousand barrels, or 36.8 of the agreed cut. However, Venezuela barely cut 20,000 barrels a day, according to OPEC, which represents a scant 15.5% of its quota to cut 129,000 barrels for the last cut.


So, do you really believe Venezuela will cut 189,000 barrels more a day this time around?


The market certainly does not seem to think so, as the price of West Texas Intermediate closed downUS$ 3 per barrel at today.


Of course, our own Minister Ramirez alias "Pinocchio" said he was satisfied with the magnitude of the cut. Of course, let others endure it, let others cut, but the robolution needs money.

You gotta love the revolution.



12:24:31 PM    comment []



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