Monday, August 11, 2008

Paper by Delfino and Salas on recall referendum results accepted for publication Just for the record, the paper “Analysis of the 2004 Venezuela Referendum and the Relation between the Official Results and the Signatures Requesting it on automated centers” by Gustavo Delfino and Guillermo Salas has been accepted for publication in the Journal “Statistical Science”. (You can download the last version there) I discussed this paper in this blog before and have always believed that anyone that takes the time to understand Figure 3 will never believe again that there was no hanky panky in the 2004 recall referendum. The paper concludes that the results of the vote were not accurate and that there were significant issues associated with the results of the automated centers which showed and excessive correlation with the results of the recall petition signatures. They also show that the conclusions of the Carter Center report are exactly the opposite of what is found in their paper. 10:11:26 PM    comment []