Venezuela
For those that just want to know about the bizarre, wonderful country of Venezuela and its even more bizarre current Government
Last updated:
7/7/2008; 12:13:29 AM


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Monday, June 16, 2008


One of the benefits of the controversy and the abrogation of the intelligence Bill is that Chavez seems to have gone on the defensive, concerned about any possible reaction by the opposition and/or students that his Government’s actions may have.

Which actually puts him in a difficult position, as the end of the Enabling Bill is coming soon and Chavez was supposed to take advantage of his special powers to legislate by decree and put a framework to his “XXIst. Century Socialism”. Except that project seems to have been diverted by Minister of Planning El Troudi, combined by Chavez’ dwindling popularity.

El Troudi’s theory seems to be that the Government needs the private sector (duhh!) as investment has reached ridiculously low levels for the private sector, while Chavez spends too much money on imports and current expenses and no real investment takes place. Thus, despite high oil prices, the economy is actually cooling off under the effect of inflation, high interest rates and the surprisingly low Government spending in the first five months of the year.

But even if cooling off is what Chavez needs, the question is whether he can afford to pass up the opportunity to legislate on important economic matters before the July Enabling Bill deadline. Reportedly, there was a new Commercial Code ready to replace the one that has been around for over a century and a half, and people expected it to redefine property and to have elements in it that would force the private sector to “integrate” more with the public one, whatever that may mean.

This is no longer expected because it may raise an outcry, but I find it very hard to believe that this is the case. As witnessed by the nomination yesterday of Ali Rodriguez to be Minister of Finance, Chavez has not changed one bit, he just has had these lapses of trying to convince people he is a good guy, while he plots how he will manage to implant his vague revolution on our country.

People are so complacent these days in Venezuela that I actually heard people call Ali Rodriguez a pragmatist a couple of times today. That is how much Chavez and his cronies can abuse Venezuelans without them realizing what a masochistic bunch they have become. This “pragmatist” was responsible for the firing of 20,000 PDVSA workers, whose severance and pensions, whether voluntary or not, were simply confiscated, as he destroyed Venezuela’s oil science and technology center, sending hundreds of the most competent engineers and scientists to work for the competition everywhere else in the world. And once Ali Rodriguez was done with this “pragmatic” solution, he went to the Ministry of Foreign Relations where he repeated his act, except that he just recalled any diplomat not with the process and has kept them in a room doing nothing for the last three years. Of course, this requires naming former military and loyal supporters to diplomatic positions, also destroying the Venezuelan Foreign Service in the process. Costly? You bet, but for Rodriguez, the ends justifies the means.

Let’s see what his pragmatism does in Finance this time around!

Meanwhile, the Venezuelan Supreme Court “approves” the decree that will allow the Government to take over the cement industry. Nobody knows what this means, whether the Government will bypass the capital markets laws that says there has to be a tender for these companies. Who cares? I bet nobody complains if they do, much like the Government gets away with mosth of what it does and says.

Somehow, it just seems as if people are immune to the fact that the Government is taking advantage of them, bypassing the laws and the Constitution so that Hugo Chavez can push his undefined program and revolution.

Opposition candidates are not only banned from running, but the Chavez appointed and controlled Comptroller seems to come out daily to defend this gigantic abuse of power, which is being ratified by the same Electoral Board that has failed to finish counting the votes from the December referendum. But of course, we are supposed to trust these same guys to count the more easily manipulated results from the November regional elections.

Sure, just look at this graph in esdata and tell me you really trust them.

But those are the guys that will count the votes in November and that is the Court that will decide controversies if there are any.

But somehow, people are optimistic and I am not sure about what…






10:15:29 PM    comment []



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