Secular Blasphemy
wherein I rant and rave about things that interest me

 



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  28. mai 2003


Creationists' monkey business

Sometimes, very rarely, American right-wingers dare to tell their readers what atheists believe (or, rather, don't believe). And when they do so, their arguments serve as little more than a naive straw man attack. Either they are pitifully ignorant about atheist arguments as well as natural science, or they carefully avoid the stronger arguments as to not inform their readers that these arguments exist.

Charitably, I will assume that Dennis Prager is just extremely ignorant, and that he has chosen to reveal this ignorance to a no doubt mostly sympathetic audience, when he argues that the recent "experiment" with monkeys and typewriters have anything at all to say about evolution. He first mentions an argument Thomas Huxley allegedly made in an evolution debate, that given enough typewriters and monkeys, sooner or later they would produce Psalm 23, a Shakespearean Sonnet or even Shakespeare's complete works.

Now, if Huxley made the argument at all (and today this story seems to exist merely in creationist writings, one copying the other, none giving any credible original source), the point would be that you can't just look at the probability of a single experiment. If you have a lot of time, and a lot of attempts, events of very low probability will eventually occur.

This, while a true and important fact, is only tangentiably relevant to evolution and atheism.

Not all atheists use this argument, but it accurately represents the atheist belief that with enough time and enough solar systems, you'll get you, me, and Bach's cello suites.

This belief has always struck me as implausible. The argument that infinitely complex intelligence came about by itself, unguided by any intelligence, can only be deemed convincing by those who have a vested interest (intellectual, emotional, psychological) in atheism..

It doesn't all surprise me that Prager finds this argument implausible. It is. And it's not an argument ever put forth by any evolutionist, atheist or not.

What Prager and many other creationists totally overlook is natural selection. The whole point of Darwin's theory of evolution is that chance plays but a minor role in the evolution of species. Natural selection, and thus evolution, is a cumulative process where 'randomness' plays no larger role than in any other chemical process.

A more relevant experiment would be to make a mechanism that, every time a monkey types a correct sequence of characters, saves this sequence and preserves it. Monkeys can, as we now know, make a mess of any experiment, but computers are very suitable for experimenting with how natural selection is way superiour to random processes.

Such an experiment has actually been carried out, as explained in a brilliant article debunking creationist misconceptions in the Scientific American:

As an analogy, consider the 13-letter sequence "TOBEORNOTTOBE." Those hypothetical million monkeys, each pecking out one phrase a second, could take as long as 78,800 years to find it among the 2613 sequences of that length. But in the 1980s Richard Hardison of Glendale College wrote a computer program that generated phrases randomly while preserving the positions of individual letters that happened to be correctly placed (in effect, selecting for phrases more like Hamlet's). On average, the program re-created the phrase in just 336 iterations, less than 90 seconds. Even more amazing, it could reconstruct Shakespeare's entire play in just four and a half days.

Prager's article is thus built on misconceptions and ignorance on practically every level, yet he argues that it is atheists, not believers, who are emotionally indulged to hold their beliefs. This is pretty obviously asburd, considering the importance afterlife beliefs have in explaining why religious ideas appeal to people.

But neither math nor science argues that all came about randomly, without a Creator. Only a keen desire to deny God explains such a belief, a belief that should be laid to rest beneath a large pile of monkey doo-doo at Plymouth University, England.

Depending on how you look at it, the article is either an amusingly naive act of rationalisation from a man clinging to his unsupported fantasies, or a series of insults to cover up his own lack of arguments and knowledge of basic science.

It is rather amusing that creationists argue that it is impossible to believe that molecular life could have originated by chance, and yet they postulate as a substitute an enormously complex entity, way more improbable than even the idea of a fully-formed human originating by pure chance (which, again, no scientist could believe), namely that God has always existed and is uncreated. The child's question, "but who created God?," is as yet unanswered by theists and singularily demolishes their hypocritical appeal to "chance."

Natural selection reduces the need for naturalists to appeal to highly improbable random events. Alas for theists, there is no scientific explanation that could explain their culturally postulated deity, which is such an extremely impossible being that the only rational conclusion is that it doesn't exist.


11:18:24 PM    comment []

Bob Geldof praises Bush

Bob Geldof, the rock singer who ten years ago organised Live Aid to help against a deadly African famine, surprised aid workers by praising the Bush administration's $15 billion plan to fight AIDS in Africa and the Caribbean.

"That is extremely radical and welcoming...and will take the fight against AIDS to new heights," Geldof told reporters.

Geldof compared Bush's action favourably to Bill Clinton's all talk and little action, and also chided the European Union for its "pathetic and appalling" response.


9:49:16 PM    comment []

Study: handsome men have the best sperm

Researchers at the University of Valencia in Spain has confirmed that a pretty face may be a bit more, as men ranked as handsome by women also produce the best quality sperm.

Another study, at the University of Nottingham in England, suggests that women who have higher quality voices also have the most beautiful faces, as ranked independently by a group of men.


9:36:36 PM    comment []

'The Older Person and the Water'

Censorship is alive and well in American school textbooks, as demonstrated in professor Dianne Ravitch's new book The Language Police. And the extent of the 500 banned word list is astonishing.

these words are banned from U.S. textbooks on the grounds that they either elitist (polo, yacht) sexist (babe, boyish figure), offensive (blind, bookworm) ageist (biddy) or just too strong (hell which is replaced with darn or heck).

Political correctness gone berserk leading to a number of humourous results

She says a lot of people are having fun finding new titles for Ernest Hemingway's "The Old Man and the Sea" which presents problems with every word except "and" and "the." Ravitch said old is ageist, man is sexist and sea can't be used in case a student lives inland and doesn't grasp the concept of a large body of water.

Language is hit from both the left and the right, each pushing their pet peeves, resulting in a politically impotent language.

According to Ravitch both the right wing and the left wing get what they want in American textbooks, for example an emphasis on family values and equality among ethnic groups.

All making for a potpurry of orwellian newspeak.


9:05:21 PM    comment []

Gulf War II — not that smart

Pentagon has released the official statistics for the Iraq war, and it appears less of the munitions used were smart bombs than first believed. Also, an astonishing amount of the platforms used were very old, while the modern prestige 'stealth' planes were far less important.


6:45:47 PM    comment []

Vultures threatened

Long-billed vultureDuring the last ten years, the once vast populations of two vulture species has declined by more than 90 per cent in India, and there are similar numbers for other Asian vultures. Hardly a popular bird, it is nevertheless and important part of the ecosystems, and its role as scavenger and garbage collector also helps protecting humans against disease.

Now it appears as though the vultures themselves are victim of an unknown virus, that rapidly threatens the traditional harbringer of doom with extinction.

A number of scientists are now investigating the mystery disease. There is also a widespread fear that whatever virus causes this rapid reduction in vulture populations may spread to other birds.


8:23:41 AM    comment []

The exchange rate of the beast

Mildly amusing: Right now, in my bank, the exchange rate between US$ and Norwegian Kroner is 6.666.


7:48:34 AM    comment []

Rumsfeld: Iraq may have destroyed WMDs

"Iraq may have destroyed its purported chemical and biological weapons before the U.S.-led invasion in March, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said on Tuesday in an effort to explain why none had been found." (ABC News)


6:33:45 AM    comment []

John Lott's dubious statistics

Here's a very interesting page about gun advocate John Lott and his questionable use of research and statistics.


5:30:29 AM    comment []

Study: condom programmes in school do not lead to more sex

A study shows that contrary to the concerns of many, making condoms available to high school students does not make them more likely to have sex.

In particular Christian groups have opposed safe sex programmes, arguing that greater availability of condoms institutes a peer pressure for kids to have more sex.

However, a study published in the June issue of the American Journal of Public Health says that students at schools with these programs were less likely to have sex.

"Condom availability was not associated with greater sexual activity among adolescents but was associated with greater condom use among those who were already sexually active, a highly positive result," Susan Blake, of the Department of Prevention and Community Health at George Washington University said in a statement.

This is good news when it comes to preventing sexually transmitted diseases. On the other hand, condom programmes did not lead to a lowering of teenage pregnancies.


3:43:11 AM    comment []

Canada may easen marijuana legislation

Dispite severe oppostion from the US as well as domestically, the Canadian government has now taken steps to decriminlize marijuana possession. At the same time penalties for trafficking is made harsher. The measure still faces strong opposition, and observers aren't certain the new legislation will pass.


3:09:57 AM    comment []

Crows attack people in Germany

A number of people in Hanburg has had an experience that reminds us about the 1968 Hitchcock classic horror movie The Birds.

One woman was suddenly attacked by a flock of crows when she was walking her dog through a park, when "the birds swooped down on her and tried to peck at her head and neck," as the police report describes it.

There has now been more than a dozen occurrences in different parts of Hamburg where people are physically attacked by crows for no apparent reason. Experts are astonished at the behaviour of the birds, and so far no good explanation has come forth.


3:05:43 AM    comment []


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The WeatherPixie

Jan/Male/31-35. Lives in Norway/Bergen, speaks Norwegian and English. Eye color is hazel. I am a god. I am also modest.
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