For many years now we've heard about the horrible "Arab street." These brutish thugs, we were lead to believe, hated the US, hated Israel, and their favourite hobbies were burning American flags and exporting terrorists. Surely, western ideas like democracy and human rights were far from their minds.
Just today we've seen a display of the Arab street. Outraged by the killing of Hariri, hundreds of thousands marched through streets in Lebanon in protest against the Syrian government, demanding Syrian withdrawal. If Syria should be forced to withdraw, it would put a serious damper on Iran's and Syria's chances at disrupting the Arab-Israeli peace process (which explains why today Iran was jumping to defend Syria, hoping it will not go wobbly in Lebanon).
A few weeks ago, we saw Arab streets filled with proud Iraqis holding up their ink-stained fingers symbolising Iraq beginning a process to join the world of democratic, free nations.
Even earlier, Afghans (who are not Arabs, but often lumped in the same category) had orderly elections for the first time, putting dire predictions to shame.
Even the repressive Saudi leaders are trying to throw their people some bits of democracy. I bet now that they've tasted it, they will want more.
The Palestinians, maybe the most radicalised Arab street, elected the (relatively) moderate Mahmoud Abbas, knowing he intended to put an end to war with Israel, and hoping he'll tackle corruption.
The people in Iran (again, not Arabs) have for a long time voiced their strong protests against the ruling Mullahs in elections. The Mullahs have every reason to fear their own people more than they fear George Bush.
Who would believe the "Arab street" would be acting as if it was choreographed by George Bush?
Will Arabs and other Muslim populations elect politicians that fall short of western standards on human rights, that puts in place religiously repressive laws, that will be strongly at odds with western and US interests? Yes, undoubtedly and unfortunately. Will Iraqi gratitude to the US-led coalition last? Look to France for an answer to that question. Nations will pursue courses of real or perceived national interest. Gratitude is very low on the scale of national priorities.
Moreover, the new democracies that I hope and believe will grow up in the Middle East will experience their share of corruption, embarrassing power struggles and mediocre (or worse) polticial leaders. The process will be less than perfect. When half the people of Iraq don't even bother to vote out of disgust with their elected politicians, I'm afraid we will have reached a level of maturity in their democracy. Yet, the checks and balances will remain in place, and some accountability will prevent the excesses we now see daily in the dictatures.
The new, elected rulers will learn to fear the Arab street, because it is taking some amount of real power, and it will gradually learn to use it for the betterment of their nation, and for betterment of the world.
3:36:55 AM
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