March Madness Hyperbole
If you're looking for biased, statistically unsound, off-the-cuff conjecture that always results in the conclusion that Kansas will win the NCAA Tournament, you've come to the right place.

 
































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  Saturday, March 15, 2003


Let's Talk Number Ones Again....

It's early Saturday morning in the States, and a lot of this stuff will flesh itself out today.  Who's still got a shot at the one seeds?

Arizona--yup

Kentucky--yup

Kansas--with Texas, Florida, Marquette all losing, Kansas is probably in, barring a truly amazing set of circumstances.  But a win at Missouri seals the deal.  They control their fate irrespective of any other games that they are involved in or are not involved in.

Texas--yikes--ugly loss to Texas Tech hurts chances a lot.  What has to happen?  Either Kansas or Oklahoma has to lose today.  If Kansas wins, then Texas is fighting for the last spot with Oklahoma, Pitt, and possibly Wake Forest.  The only way to absolutely secure a spot is for Oklahoma, Pitt, and Wake to all lose today.  If all these things don't happen, Texas could still get a one seed, but it's tougher.

Oklahoma--Must get to Big 12 finals, and probably needs to win it.  If they win the tournament, they get the one seed, period.  If they beat Kansas, those two teams are in.

Pittsburgh--Must win the Big East tournament today.  If they lose to UConn, they're done.  If they win, they have a chance, but they must have either Kansas lose today, or Oklahoma lose today.  Pitt's RPI was 16 as of Monday, which is a lot lower than it needs to be if they expect that seed.  They're behind BYU, Georgia, Stanford, Louisville, etc.  They get props for winning the Big East, but I don't see this happening.

Wake Forest--Must win ACC tournament and needs Kansas, Oklahoma, and Pittsburgh to all lose today.  Their RPI of 8 is good, but this team doesn't get any respect, whether they deserve it or not. 

My prediction:  Kansas sails today, gets the third spot, and Oklahoma wins, meaning that it will come down to a judgement call between Texas and Oklahoma.  I'm guessing Texas gets the edge, because they beat OU twice.  I can't see Pitt or Wake slipping in there.


2:09:50 PM    Let's hear it. []


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