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  Thursday, September 04, 2003


The Seer Sees All, And Reveals Some

I have opted, not so much out of choice but out of necessity, for a fantasy football game that merely obligates me to pick the winners of the NFL games each week, as opposed to drafting and running a team of players.  I would still do the latter if I found a league, but for better or worse I will spend this season picking games.

I like to pick the games.  I'm good at it, though I'm better at the NBA, where I have demonstrated a 60% winning percentage over a two-month period.  Huzzah! 

And so, in the spirit of the thing, I thought I might use this little diversion as the basis for my NFL writings this season.  The first order of business, when one is in the business of picking games, is to have a name

The name is everything.  It has to suggest a sort of preturnatural knowledge not just of the NFL, but of something larger.  Something important, and something that others simply cannot see.  Several good names are already taken.  Hunter S. Thompson likes to call himself the Good Doctor, and if you aren't reading his NFL column, you're making a serious mistake with the charade you call life.  Or wait--maybe it's Norman Chad who is the Good Doctor.  Maybe they are both the Good Doctor.  We don't need a third, unless I'm willing to masquerade as the Slightly Better Doctor, which I am not.  I'm better than most, but Hunter S. and Chad are true masters of their soothesaying craft.

I was called Swami, behind my back, by a college instructor.  I like that name just fine, but unfortunately the loathesome and unbelievably lucky no-talent ass-clown Chris Berman has usurped that name for his own NFL Prediction Persona.

I went to Thesaurus.com to find just the right word.  Guru?  Oracle?  Diviner?  Ooh, I like that.  It lends me the moral authority of both God and cross-dressing human freak Devine.  Or, there are many wonderful variations of the word prophet from which to choose.  But am I really a prophet?  Only time will tell.

I wanted to opt for Augur.  I didn't know such a word existed.  It makes me think of augers, those horrible chopping tools that annually remove arms from little boys in the rural Dakotas.  Look, I want to be respected as a football sage, but I don't need people to fear having their limbs ripped from their bodies if they doubt my vision.

Ah, vision.  Isn't that what it's all about?  I will be The Football Seer.  I will see all.  Will mine vision be clear? 

Just so we know the rules, my game does not demand that I pick against or in any way consider the spreads.  I understand that this makes this a low-octane operation, but it is what it is.  I am only required to pick the winners, and a final score of the Monday game.  Feel free to use my words in your own gambling or fantasy exploits, but please, always give the Seer his due.

Here be thy picks for Week One of the NFL.

Tonight

Jets at Redskins

Plenty of juicy plotlines here.  First, we must always point out that the name "Redskins" is a racial slur, and that the league should enforce a change immediately.  You may have heard that there are 14 players on the 'Skins who were Jets last year.  You may have heard that Jets wunderkind QB Chad Pennington broke his wrist.  You may have heard that neither of these teams is particularly exciting.  Look for the Jets to use Curtis Martin early and often to protect Vinny Greenballs from a medicore 'Skins defense.  Still, the 'Skins are at home, and Steve Spurrier has had a full camp with his chosen QB, Patrick Ramsey. 

The Seer Sees: Redskins

Sunday

Cardinals at Lions

Tell me one thing about the Cardinals, other than the fact that Emmitt Smith and Jeff Blake are in, and David Boston is out.  You can't, can you?  You know, a part of me has always liked the Cardinals, those crimson unis and the retro gray facemasks.  But liking a team and picking them to win are two very different things for the Seer.  Detroit Rock City, on the other hand, has some minor signs of life, including Joey Harrington and the arrival of a new target for Joey Harrington, Charles Rogers.  Rogers is a talent, but I think he's a Playmakers plotline waiting to happen.  Losing top RB James Stewart for the year is a blow, but this Lions team should have enough to beat the Cards.  That ain't saying much, though.

The Seer Sees: Lions

Ravens at Steelers

Ooh, a bruising AFC North game, right off the bat.  The Ravens ain't what they used to be on defense, and the offense will now be engineered by a rookie QB that Brian Billick thinks he can work some kind of guru magic with.  Is Jamal Lewis healthy?  Seriously, I have no idea.  What I do know is that Steelers stud Joey Porter was shot in the buttocks this week, and that they have finally exorcised the engimatic Kordell Stewart from town.  I'm having a tough time reading these teams this first week, but Heinz Field is Heinz Field. 

The Seer Sees: Steelers

Broncos at Bengals

Do I even have to say it?  Do I?  Still, I'm interested in what the Bengals will do.  They have Carson Palmer and Marvin Lewis at the helm, their best grab at respectability since before we knew how annoying the post-football careers of Boomer Esiason and Chris Collinsworth were going to be.  But let's be real.  Too much Clinton Portishead.

The Seer Sees: Broncos

Texans at Dolphins

The Seer Sees Junior Seau and Zach Thomas each breaking Derrick Thomas' single game sack record.  Ricky Williams will run for 120 yards...in the first half.  Dave Wannstedt will do his Joe Randa impersonation the entire game, except this time, it really will be a smirk on his face, and not just a nervous tick.

The Seer Sees: Dolphins

Colts at Browns

Another tough one.  It seems 72% of the people in my StarTribune game like the Colts, in Cleveland.  Really?  The Browns have two great quarterbacks.  Frankly, I don't see why they can't play both of them at once.  I mean, really.  Split them out wide in a big T formation in the backfield, snap the ball to a RB, then pick a QB to pitch to.  It's brilliant.  Wait...I'm fielding calls from NFL GM's as I type this.  The Colts are a passive, gutless bunch out to show everyone how aggressive and tough they are.  This is finally the year Marvin Harrison slows down as a result of his average size and multiple hits, and finally the year Peyton Manning just up and punches his loud-mouth kicker.  Tony Dungy will remain stoic and classy through it all.

The Seer Sees: Browns

Jaguars at Panthers

Two points for whoever can tell me a damn thing about either of these teams.  They came into the league at the same time, both went to their respective conference championship games at the same time, and in general have done nothing at all to distinguish themselves from one another or in any other way ever since.  Sure, Jacksonville beat the piss out of Miami that one year in the playoffs, 61-7.  But what have they done for us lately?  Two words.  Jack.  Shit.  The Seer does like new coach Jack Del Rio, but unfortunately can't remember which of these two teams he coaches.  For no reason whatsoever...

The Seer Sees: Jaguars

Vikings at Packers

Oh, this is a big one.  The hometown game.  The Seer will be Seeing this game on a home theatre at the bachelor pad of one Steve T., who is so busy scoring with all his lady friends he doesn't even have time to read the Pipeline.  Ever hear of multitasking?  This game is gonna be a haymaker, no doubt about it.  The Vikings are an improved bunch, but what does that really mean when you were 6-10 last year and you've lost your stud RB for eight weeks?  The Packers are one Bret Favre injury away from instigating a run on paint thinner ingestion throughout the state of Wisconsin.  The Vikings are better, but Michael Bennet's absence will haunt them early, and Brett Favre will haunt them late.

The Seer Sees: Packers

Patriots at Bills

Talk about your interesting subplots.  Drew Bledsoe was a Patriot.  Now he's a Bill.  Same with Lawyer Milloy.  Both teams wear Red, White and Blue.  Both teams play in the same division.  Both teams play football.  Both teams have hot cheerleaders.  See the connections?  New England is pissed off after defensive leader Milloy was let go for money reasons.  They are still a deep team, Tom Brady is still Pretty Good, and Bledsoe no longer has Peerless Price to throw to. 

The Seer Sees: Patriots

Chargers at Chiefs

Dan Fouts has shred the Chiefs defense the last few times they have met, but this isn't the same Chiefs team.  This Chiefs team can score like Madonna at the MTV Awards.  Priest Holmes appears to be healthy, and that's Trouble for the Chargers.  Add to that a dynamic and freaking fast WR corps, and Dick Vermeil won't have to bust out his Ed Muskie act until at least Week Three.  The Chargers have let Junior Seau go.  It was the right thing to do for football and financial reasons, but karma will punish them for letting the best player the franchise has known the last 20 years to just walk away.  Karma, and Priest Holmes.

The Seer Sees: Chiefs

Quick pause...Christ, there are a lot of NFL games...The Seer Sees that The Seer is going to get tired of doing this every damned week.  Can't somebody at least pay me for this?  Oh, wait...

Rams at Giants

Remember the Rams?  Remember when they were special?  Remember when the Giants were special?  Yeah, me neither.  The Giants have removed Ron Dayne's Fat Ass from their backfield equation, which pretty much means Tiki Barber is due to get hurt.  Hey, here's a question for you: How many career touchdowns does Giant Dumbass Jeremy Schlockey have?  One.  Talk about hype.  The Rams still have Faulk, Holt, Warner, and Martz.  The Giants have a grass field and a certain something.

The Seer Sees: Giants

Falcons at Cowboys

I'm pretty pissed off about the Vick injury.  The Seer wanted to See Michael Vick.  In the meantime, the Falcons will have to bottomfeed, which means they have a date with the Cowboys.  Parcells will improve this team, but he'll need more time than this.  He should be able to win this game, but the bad aura of Jerry Jones' New Face, Emmitt Smith, Leon Lett and Golden Richards will meet the even worse auras of Steve Bartkowski, Billy White Shoes Johnson, Junior Miller and Gerald Riggs in a backyard karma brawl, and somehow, the Falcons will win that one, too.

The Seer Sees: Falcons

Bears at 49ers

Let's just eliminate the suspense, shall we?  The Bears suck.  Plain and simple.  They suck.  The 49ers are decent to good.  It doesn't take a Seer to See this outcome.

The Seer Sees: 49ers

Saints at Seahawks

You know, I wanted to like those Seattle unis, I really did.  I liked that they were trying to blueify that whole Pewter thing the Bucs originated.  And yet, somehow the color proofs got messed up or sunbleached or pissed on or something, and the results have left us all frustrated and confused and hurt deep inside.  But that little neon green pinstripe?  Inspired genius.  Really.  Speaking of Inspired Geniuses, remember when Mike Holmgren was supposed to be one?  Now he's just a Craig Stadler lookalike with a frown on his face and a bunch of lame excuses.  Now the Saints, those guys know what a uniform is supposed to look like.  Look good, play good.  That's my motto.

The Seer Sees: Saints

Raiders at Titans

Big Game.  The Raiders are a year older, as are the Titans.  As are all the teams, as are all of us.  I think the implications of this are plain for all to See.  The Titans are an injury factory.  At what point will Steve McNair seperate his shoulder?  At what point will he sprain his wrist?  Not that any of that will stop him from playing, of course.  If you look up Tough Motherfucker in the Oxford, you'll see a picture of Steve McNair, gimping it up while leading his team just close enough so they can lose to somebody else.  In other injury news, when will Eddie George's legs fall off?  Not this week.

The Seer Sees: Titans

Monday

Buccaneers at Eagles

Another Glen Lerner Heavy Hitter Special.  Donovan McNabb is good.  The Buccaneers are the defending champs.  I love Monday Night Football.  I love it.  You could take the '78 Buccaneers and the team from Goldie Hawn's Wildcats and they would still find a way to make MNF a special game to remember.  Personally, although I really miss Dennis Miller, I think Rush Limbaugh will be interesting to watch.  I mean, Michael Irvin and Rush Limbaugh, together.  Now that's entertainment.  As for the game, these teams go back and forth, as all great rivalries should.  Bucs won last time.  It's payback time.

The Seer Sees: Eagles, 24-23

Enjoy, football friends everywhere.  It's the best time of the year.


3:59:42 PM    Say what?[]

Oh, and before I forget...

Two things.  One, Jill Baisinger, the college debater I didn't really coach at K-State, but later went on to coach with at Macalester, where we became good friends, was in Ben Kerschberg's class at Yale Law School.  Small world.

And two, I want to give a big Pipeline shout out to Friends of Pipeline Cliff and Kari, who as of yesterday morning are the proud parents of a baby girl named Ida Sophia.  Mother and child and father are apparently doing well.  I love the name, and although Kari was apparently distressed that their young daughter was born with a mullet, I think it fits perfectly with her mother's Southwest Minnesota heritage.

Congratulations. 


12:54:07 PM    Say what?[]

Back In The Saddle

I have been away on business, and I have missed the Pipeline.  But being away from writing for even a day provides ample inspiration.  Let's see how much I can bang out over yet another delicious lunch from the Wendy's drive through...

Are you ready for some football?

I am READY.  The NFL starts tonight.  Baseball was my first love, a love that continues.  The NBA is an addiction fueled by an intense devotion to the Wolves and a special player named KG.  But football is special.  I'll watch just about any NFL game, regardless of who is playing, regardless of any fantasy sports implications.  I love the NFL.  And I'm ready. 

But, like every year, I have been negligent in joining a fantasy football league.  I always foolishly say I won't do a league, and then I regret it after the very first game.  I'm not looking to spend my life doing research, and I want an online league.  Who can help me, fast?

The Story Of Ben Kerschberg

Some time ago, I published an endorsement of Ben Kerschberg's book project on the Pipeline.  Ben approached me out of the blue, having never met me, and asked if I would be so kind as to publish a link to his book and website.  I thought he was genuine, and so despite my standoffish nature regarding these types of things, I put out his link

Well, that was a few months ago.  Since that time, Ben and I have discovered that we share a common love of basketball, a wonderment about the arts, and a general interest in the strange path of life.  And I have also now read his book, Piercing the Veil.  Ben is a high achiever, a graduate of Yale Law School that, despite obvious badassness, suffered from the kind of depression that can make anyone feel their life is a failure not worth living.  Ultimately, Ben attempted suicide.

But Ben's story fortunately doesn't end there.  It seems his suicide attempt was one of the only things he has failed at, and he has responded by writing a memoir about what led him to that dark point in his life, and his daily struggle to recover from it.  He is now a Fellow at Yale, working on a book about the way that America stigmatizes people who have mental health problems. 

Ben's book wasn't the easiest to read, but it opened my eyes to a lot of things.  We all know people who have been impacted by mental health and suicide, even if we have not been impacted directly.  His mission is to let people know that mental health isn't to be taken for granted in ourselves, our families or our friends.  That we shouldn't be afraid of asking tough questions.  That we should keep our eyes and ears and minds open, and that doing so might be the lifeline that a troubled person needs.  The proceeds from his book go directly to the hospital in Greenville, SC, where Ben stayed after his suicide attempt. 

Keep on rolling, Ben.

The Corporation

I work for a large corporation.  Fortune 100.  Technically I work for one of their many subsidiaries, but we all report up the ladder.  Yesterday, I went to the corporate headquarters to give a presentation to U.S. Customs regarding our C-TPAT program, which I wrote about here.  It was quite an experience.  Nothing huge happened, but there are just all the little things you see that make you shake your head.

It's a total Country Club attitude, meaning that you hear a lot of sexist remarks, see a lot of Old White Guys, and have at least 20 people talk to you about how secure the corporate compound is.

That was the first thing I heard as I was driven onto the campus, which sits in an inner-tier suburb of a large Midwestern City: That the Campus is an Oasis in the middle of a DMZ.  Oh, really?  I expected a war zone when we got there, but in reality it's just a few post WWII houses that are pretty run-down.  Clearly, it is a neighborhood in decline, and yet there is a large, 300 acre campus sitting smack-dab in the middle of it.  I was first assured that all of the houses around the campus were being purchased and razed, to expand the green of the compound.  (It looked like a golf course, a fact that several people later made sure to mention to me.)

I was then told that there were cameras in the trees and all around, and that the glass in the building was not only bullet-proof, but could withstand small artillery fire as well.  (Yeah, but what if one of those homies we drove by threw a crack pipe at it?)

All of this was later explained to Customs by the head of corporate security, a tall, thin guy straight from central casting who smoked about 12 packs a day, and kept hiking up his pants at the waist.  We Were Secure.

Nearly all of the presentations were sexist in one way or another.  Many talked about the "girls" who work at the facility, or some such thing.  Nobody batted an eye.  At one point, the only woman on the corporate team who was to present, held up a Memory Stick (removable memory for computers).  She asked the group "What is this?"  One VP (of HR, no less) immediately and earnestly guessed "It's lipstick!".  She then had to explain the technology in very broad terms (See, the guys I was with yesterday would have thought that was a pun.)

Hilarious moment of the day: Now, you have to understand, we were meeting with U.S. Customs.  There is a rule when you do that--Don't volunteer any more than you have to.  Keep it focused.  Raise no suspicions.  I know this, and so do the attorneys at the HQ who are in charge of trade compliance.  Unfortunately, they didn't brief the other members of the corporate teams that were presenting to Customs (their bad).  So, this woman I spoke about before, who manages IT, listens intently to all of the presentations about our trade issues.

Rather than let Customs ask the tough questions (which for some reason they did not), this woman, an employee of the company, starts peppering the attorneys with Tough Questions.  Like "Gee, when I was in Mexico, I didn't think there was much security at our facilities at all."  Or my favorite "Hey, don't we also ship nuclear material around the world?"

Man, you should have seen Customs' eyes widen when she said that.  From here on out, whenever anyone talks about staring daggers at someone, I will forever picture the attorneys looking at this poor woman who had no idea what she was doing (which of course was the attorneys' fault).  Yeah, why not just mention all that fertilizer we shipped to that militia up in Michigan while you are at it?

Bottom line, we are on the up and up, but we had to explain that in great detail to Customs.  Well, I thought it was funny, anyway.

So, I get up to give my presentation.  I'm very good in front of crowds, and have a bit of an unfair advantage over most other presenters because I'm funny, I know how to work a room, and if I know the material (as I did in this case), I can also be highly informative and dynamic.  Look, I'm not blowing my own horn here; it's just the facts.  I have years and years of experience in competitive public speaking and cabaret performance. 

So I start to give my spiel, and I begin by introducing myself, blah, blah, blah.  I mention that in my life prior to being a compliance specialist, I was a college debate coach.  Someone asked me where I did that, and I mentioned Kansas State and Macalester College, also mentioning that I coached the national champions at K-State in '93. 

Now, let me digress for a moment here, because this is important to me.  Technically speaking, I did not in any real way coach the K-State national champions in 1993.  Although a team from K-State did win nationals in 1993 (Beating my old partner Jim and friend Greg in the finals), I really wasn't allowed to have contact with the team that won, Jill Baisinger and KJ Wall.  Why that is the case is a long story that needn't be retold here, but suffice it to say they didn't need my help.  Fact is, I was only one of many coaches on that squad who had no contact with the top teams, and instead were funneled to help the younger debaters (who did win the JV national championship).  So, it was disingenuous for me to say that I coached them, but what was I really going to say?  That I fraternized in socially irredeemable ways with some of the students I was coaching?  That I had come close to winning a championship in my own right as a debater, but did so largely through the efforts of my partner while I fraternized in socially irredeemable ways with as many people as I could.  That save for a regrettable strategic decision that involved whales (yes, the mammal whales) and an inferior team from UCLA in '91, or a poor strategic choice against an inferior team from Arizona State in '92 that I well could have said that I was the college debate national champion? 

Of course not.  I only had 30 minutes for my presentation.  So I said what I said.  Who was it gonna hurt?  Everyone was impressed.

So much so, in fact, that later I had a chance to glance at the notes from the lead attorney.  The only thing he wrote down from my entire presentation, which was really the only meat of the entire day, was this:

Doug H-National college debate champion, 1993

Well...I guess that's close enough.

Finally...

Unearned Glory

Twins are in a pennant race.  Big time.  Neck and neck with the White Sox, with the Miracle Royals lurking two games behind.  Yesterday saw the Twins entering the bottom of the ninth against the Angels, and down by a run.  Angels closer Troy Percival is on the mound.

Troy Percival has thrown 37 career innings against the Twins without giving up an earned run.  Read that again.  First two batters up, first two batters down.  Understand, Troy Percival is filthy, meaning he has the kind of stuff batters just don't want to face.  A sizzling, riding fastball that reaches the upper '90s with movement, and a nasty breaking pitch that freezes batters at the knees, because they think it's heat coming for their heads.  By the time they figure out it's not, it's across the plate and they are walking back to the bench. 

So, naturally, Ron Gardenhire sends up a rookie (albeit a good one) in Justin Morneau.  Morneau works the count full, fouls off two nasty pitches, and eventually coaxes a two-out walk.  Gardenhire pinch-runs for Morneau with Dustan Mohr, a guy built like a Division II linebacker who's got average speed and is known for a devil-may-care attitude on the bases that sometimes causes him to run into foolish outs.  The next batter, Shannon Stewart, manages to get around on a Percival fastball and lines a double past the third baseman and into the left-field corner. 

And that's when the fun started.  Was Mohr going to make it around to score the tying run?  He gets to third and looks to third base coach Al Newman for the sign, indicating whether he should stay at third or try to score.  Now, this in itself is it's own little drama.  Newman has had a lot of rough spots at third base this year.  Sometimes he sends runners to the plate, only to be out by a mile, and other times he has held runners, only to be publicly called out by players afterward for not being aggressive enough.  So what does Newman do?  According to subsequent interviews I have heard with Newman, he factors in that it is Percival on the mound, that the Twins still would need one more hit to score the tying run, that the Angels need to make two good throws to home and that the catcher has to hold onto the ball, and he decides to wave his arm like a windmill to send Mohr home, despite the fact that he felt that Mohr was going to be out.  He did this because he had begun to second-guess himself, because he had read criticism of his conservative ways from the players in the paper, and because Ron Gardenhire told him to be aggressive with two outs.  So he sent a man running into an almost certain out not because he wanted to, but because he thought it would make others happy.

The throw beat Mohr home by about fifteen feet (a mile, in other words).  Angels catcher Benji Molina had time to catch the ball, pass it around the dugout for a team autograph, take off all his catcher's gear to relieve himself in the clubhouse, then put the gear back on to go out and apply the tag.

As a runner, I've been in that position.  You have three choices.  You can go back to third, where you will be a dead duck.  Or you can keep moving forward and try to either evade a tag or seperate the ball from the catcher.  Dustan Mohr ain't the kind of guy to go back to third, and he ain't the kind of guy to try to evade the tag.  Dustan Mohr was going to home plate, Benji Molina or no Benji Molina. 

There's a right way to apply a tag, and a wrong way.  The right way is to not present your body for a collision, as you would when you were blocking the plate.  When you have a runner out by three Kobe lengths, you don't have to block the plate.  You simply step forward, transfer the ball from your glove to your hand, and absorb the impact of the runner with your hands and arms, and let the momentum spin you away from the runner. 

Molina didn't do that.  He presented his body as a target, and didn't transfer the ball.  Mohr used his shoulder (and probably his hands a bit, too) and dislodged the ball from Molina.  As the ball dribbled up the first-base line, Mohr stepped triumphantly on the plate.  And immediately behind him came Shannon Stewart, who smartly never stopped running. 

Just like that, Twins win.  The Twins erupted onto the field in celebration.  They know what luck looks like.  Al Newman must surely have said "Thank You" to someone, not that anyone could hear him above the crowd.  Strangest ending I've seen in a while that didn't involve Jack Cust. 

Molina?  Mohr broke his wrist in two places, a shame for a tough gritty player.  He's out for the rest of the year.  Baseball is a lot of different things.  But in a pennant race, in a game that would eventually vault them into a tie for first, with two outs and the ballgame on the line, and nothing to do but try to seperate a large armored man from a baseball in his clutches, Dustan Mohr did what he had to do.  He made the play.  In a tight race that will most likely go down to the wire, a play straight out of a football game might end up being one of the plays that makes the Twins' year.

And what else did Molina get for his troubles besides a broken wrist?  An error!  They gave him a freaking error!  Insult to injury.

All of which means that Troy Percival still hasn't given up an earned run to the Twins. 


12:34:56 PM    Say what?[]


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