The Seer Sees: .500
Know this: NFL Sunday Ticket is a beautiful thing. Friend of Pipeline Chris Z. has the Ticket, and he's not afraid to use it. The Ticket is the foundation for the Ideal Sunday, which seems to go like this at the Z Household: Wake up, put on sweat suit, sit down, tell son and his friends to walk dogs, watch games, go to bed. All the Seer needs to make that a reality is the NFL Season Ticket, another dog, and some friends for Son of Seer. We all have to have something to strive for, don't we?
The NFL is perfect, for this reason: It's a short season. Everything gets crammed into 16 games, meaning that each individual game is literally 10 times more important than a baseball game, given baseball's 162-game schedule. NFL games are five times more important than NBA games. And the playoffs? Forget about a best-of series. One game. Winner moves on. Loser goes home. That's why there is so much hype over the NFL, and because the season is short, the hype can be sustained, unlike March during the NBA season, which is awful for even a die-hard hoops fan.
The Ticket allowed the Seer to witness the last few minutes of an entertaining Jaguars/Texans contest, as well as large parts of every other early game. It was one helluva lot of fun.
For the week, not counting tonight's gimmie, the Seer finished 5-5. Given the lack of good vibrations the Seer felt going in, we consider this a supreme victory. What did we learn?
We learned that, just as Bill Simmons counseled in his own column, picking the Cardinals on the road is a bad, bad idea. They are inconsistent and bad, which means that they'll get huge lines all year, and beat the spread more than they should. The Cardinals are gambling death this year, I feel it. The Rams? They had guys step in and perform, but how good are they against a real team? Another hard to figure team.
The Seer Saw: Cardinals beating the 10.5 spread
The Seer Was: Wrong!
We learned that the Vikings are Damn Good. Call it a statement game, call it a game against an overrated and imploding 49ers team, call it whatever you want, but they manhandled the 49ers in a way that is hard to just write off if you're a Niners player or fan. The Vikings did this without their starting QB or HB. They have Atlanta next week. 5-0? This game wasn't on the board at the time we picked, which is good. We would have been wrong.
We learned that Tennessee is just solid. They own Pittsburgh now. McNair just makes big plays, over and over again. Was the loss at Indy just a bad game? Hard to say, but this team looks tough now.
The Seer Saw: Titans beating the 3 point spread
The Seer Was: Right!
The Redskins might just be for real, but it's hard to say. The Patriots were awfully banged-up defensively, and this game still went right down to the wire. Still, the Skins are finding ways to win.
The Seer Saw: Patriots beating the 1.5 spread
The Seer Was: Wrong!
The Texans and Jags played a great game, or at least a great finish. Personally, I think the Texans going for it at the end was dumb. You've got a rookie QB on the road, wouldn't OT seem to favor you substantially? Still, a big call, and a smart play. Where was the linebacker for the Jags to guard against that dive?
The Seer Saw: Texans beating the 3 point spread
The Seer Was: Right!
The Eagles finally got sharp QB play, and now that Bills bandwagon is slowing a bit, huh? HUGE win for Philly. Saved the season. Buffalo was hurt by Travis Henry's absence, and with both Henry and Willis McGahee possibly available later in the year, this is going to be an interesting Bills team to watch.
The Seer Saw: Bills covering the 3 point spread
The Seer Was: Wrong!
The Bengals finally broke through, and the Browns still can't score much. This Browns team is stinky. How much import can their win over the 49ers have, now that we have seen what an abyss that team is in?
The Seer Saw: The Bengals beating the 5.5 point spread
The Seer Was: Right!
The Chiefs and Ravens played a tight defensive game that was broken open when mighty-mite Dante Hall ran a kick back with about 5:00 to go in the game. In a defensive game like that, that late in the game, you knew that was the ballgame. What a force Hall is. A hot kick returner is one of the more exciting things in sports, if you ask the Seer. And Dante is...I don't even have to say it, do I?
The Seer Saw: The Chiefs covering the 3 point spread
The Seer Was: Right!
The Raiders struggled mightily until the end, when they finally topped the Chargers on an OT field goal. The Raiders still look old to me, and they are winning some games over lame teams (Bengals, Chargers) by a whisker, while getting waxed (Broncos) and beaten up (Titans) by good teams in their losses. For an aging team, that's not a good sign.
The Seer Saw: Raiders covering the 6.5 point spread
The Seer Was: Wrong!
The Jets have hit Rock Bottom, and Tuna beats yet another former team with his up-and-coming Cowboys. This wasn't even a game, really. Frankly, you have to wonder: Was Chad Pennington so good that he would have turned all this around? I don't think so. This Jets team is bereft of talent, and Herm Edwards is looking like a lost coach these days.
The Seer Saw: Cowboys beating the 3 point spread
The Seer Was: Right!
The Panthers smacked around the Atlanta Falcons, 23-3. Seriously, here's another example of a team that has its hopes pinned on one player. And Michael Vick is a very good player, potentially a great player. But after seeing the Vikings take the field with Gus Frerotte, and then wipe up the 49ers, you have a little less sympathy for the plights of teams like the Jets and Falcons, who just don't seem to have enough talent across the board. Carolina's D continues to look scary...
The Seer Saw: Panthers cover the 6 point spread
The Seer Was: Right!
The Lions gave Denver a strong fight before finally falling 20-16. There is speculation that the Broncos were looking ahead to next week's mega-match against the Chiefs, and that seems plausible enough. But the Seer still doesn't trust Jake Plummer.
The Seer Saw: Broncos covering the 13 point spread
The Seer Was: Wrong!
And, finally, the Colts humiliated the Saints at home. The Saints were missing five starters on D, but it didn't matter. The Colts just lambasted them, and the Saints offense was far more inept than it had any right to be. Bill Simmons was right: Stay away from the Saints. And the Colts? God, they looked good. Maybe too good. I have no idea what that means. It was like a Minnesota Golden Gophers non-conference game. Total Rout. Now the Colts have beaten up on Tennessee and the Saints, two decent to good teams, and they ground out wins against the Jags and Browns. I'm starting to believe.
The Seer Saw: The Saints beating the 1.5 point spread
The Seer Was: Very Wrong!
There you have it, 5-5 on Sunday, and a game to go tonight. Hope you had a nice weekend.
2:04:04 PM
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