Randy Moss Roasts Another Defender
The Seer Sees: Week 10
We move down backside of the NFL schedule with the Seer sporting a tidy 65-46 record, good for a 58.6% success rate against the spread. But what does that mean in money terms? Well, let's say the Seer was betting $30 per game. Since we're currently 19 games over .500, the math on the winnings works like this: 19 x 30 ='s $570. But of course, we have to take the vig out of that (the vig being the house's take on all bets, win or lose, and the real way they make their cash). I don't know what the exact vig would be, but we'll call it 7%. Once we take that away from our overall wagered amount, we end up ahead by about $530. Now, we must stress, we have never, and probably will never bet on an NFL game, or any other type of game. It's all just for fun, though if the Seer can end the year above 60%, well, all bets are off, as they say. (Personally, I don't think being up $530 would be worth the stress of having to actually care how these games come out, though if I were betting $30,000 per game, I would be up $53,000...)
Before we go on, a housekeeping item--The Seer has changed line sources. We now use the USAToday, and we'll just go with the first book listed, which is World Wide TeleSports, located in Antigua and Barbuda. The Seer visited their operation this week, and they not only know the NFL, but they make a mean pina colada. So props to my peeps in the islands, and here we go.
Buccaneers @ Panthers, Bucs by 3
Ooh, the Panthers can't like that. No respect! They beat the Bucs in Tampa, and now they are home dogs to a team that's staring up at them from the standings? But there is trouble in Carolina. Stephen Davis is wearing down, and it could be that the offense is just too vanilla to stay ahead of the schemes of the defensive coordinators they face in the second half of the season. But Tampa's O-line is banged up, and the Panthers got that nasty pass rush. And Tampa's defense is banged up, still. And they still can't run the ball very well. It's Tampa's season on the line, more or less. The Seer still thinks they are a great team beset with injuries. Greatness needs to step up.
The Seer Sees: Bucs cover
Texans @ Bengals, Bengals by 5.5
Hmm. The Bengals lost a tough one to the Cardinals last week. The Texans, meanwhile, beat the Panthers. This line seems a bit on the large side to the Seer. The Bengals are better, but they aren't blowing people out.
The Seer Sees: Texans beat the spread
Bears @ Lions, Lions by 2
Say what? The Lions are favored? We know they are at home, and we know it's the Bears and all, but the Bears at least have shown something since Chris Chandler took over at QB. All the Lions have done is beat the Raiders. Big deal. Maybe Mariucci's starting to work his magic? You know it will happen sooner or later, but where's the talent?
The Seer Sees: The Bears beat the spread
Colts @ Jaguars, Colts by 6
The Jags sure do suck. Suck bad. The Colts are good, but they'll lay an egg every once in awhile. It's a big line, and Jacksonville has been getting worked pretty regularly. We originally had this the other way, but the Seer sees a letdown possibility for the Colts here. If Leftwich can cut his turnovers down, this can be a close game. We'll probably regret this one, but...
The Seer Sees: The Jags beat the spread
Browns @ Chiefs, Chiefs by 9.5
That's a big spread against a decent team like the Browns. But the Chiefs are coming off the bye, and well, they're just really damn good. Arrowhead is tough on any team, and Browns' RB William Green is suspended for a DUI this game. Chiefs keep rollin'...
The Seer Sees: The Chiefs cover
Falcons @ Giants, Giants by 10.5
Yikes. How bad do you have to be to be a 10.5 dog to the Giants? Answer: As bad as the Falcons.
The Seer Sees: The Giants cover
Cardinals @ Steelers, Steelers by 7
Big line for a mediocre Steelers team, against a Cardinals team that has beaten the Niners, Packers and Bengals. But all of those wins were at home, not a tough, cold place like Heinz Field. And the Steelers aren't out of their race yet, meaning that this could be where their season jump-starts.
The Seer Sees: Steelers cover
Dolphins @ Titans, Titans by 5
The Dolphins' O-line is banged up, and that's a bad thing with Brian Griese at QB and the Titans on the other side of the ball. That's enough for the Seer.
The Seer Sees: Titans cover
Seahawks @ Redskins, Seahawks by 3
Who knows what to make of the Redskins these days? There is major turmoil surrounding Steve Spurrier and his offensive scheme, and those aren't things that can be fixed from week-to-week. But for whatever reason, we just have a feeling about this game...
The Seer Sees: Redskins beat the spread
Vikings @ Chargers, Vikings by 5.5
This game scares the Seer to death. The Vikings can't stop the run. The Chargers have LaDainian Tomlinson. An unstoppable force meets a very moveable object.
The Seer Sees: Chargers beat the spread
Bills @ Dallas, Dallas by 4
Hey, it's a rematch of those two lousy Superbowls! Someday, perhaps I will tell you the story of how I saw that first Dallas/Buffalo Superbowl, in the midst of a wild party of drunk and scary strangers in Columbia, MO. But today is not that day. Dallas's coach is better than Buffalo's coach. A lot better.
The Seer Sees: Dallas covers
Jets @ Raiders, Jets by 3
The ultimate indignity. Super Bowl last year, now a home dog to a Jets team with a losing record. And the Raiders have more than earned it. They really are this bad, and the Jets are a team on the rise now that Curtis Martin is playing well and Chad Pennington is back. But this is still the Raiders, and there is still talent on this team, and it is still the Black Hole. The Raiders are playing for pride at this point. Do they have pride?
The Seer Sees: Raiders beat the spread
Ravens @ Rams, Rams by 7
The Rams just got ambushed in Frisco last week, plain and simple. They'll bounce back, and Marshall Faulk's in the fold, to boot. The Rams are smart enough to not run at Ray Lewis all game long, aren't they?
The Seer Sees: Rams cover
Eagles @ Packers, Packers by 4.5
Yawn. Favre on Monday night in Lambeau. McNabb is hurt again. Packers are back in the race, big time.
The Seer Sees: Packers cover
11:18:28 AM 
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