Before
you can appreciate what the characters in this scenario are likely to
do, you need to know something about them. If you knew and grew up with
them, you might not see them this way, but here's how they see themselves:
- Mark:
Always had a thirst for power, and became a gang leader at a young age.
Absolutely ruthless, and doesn't apologize for it. Argues vehemently
that he's actually making life in the neighbourhood better, by putting
some order in it. He has benefited from the recent collapse of a rival
gang, and is moving to control the whole neighbourhood now, though he
himself lives in an affluent district outside it. His gang has been
living beyond its means, and desperately needs to secure some new money
and resources, so the gang's raids and extortions have recently
increased dramatically.
- Ray:
Mark's longtime friend, Ray had a rough childhood, thrown out of the
house when just a child. He lived in the streets for years until Mark's
gang seized two adjoining houses for its local headquarters, and let
Ray live in one and guard the other. Ray is understandably grateful to
Mark's gang and paranoid about losing his new home, and defends both
houses fiercely.
- Paul:
The poor guy who was living with his wife in one of the houses Mark's
gang seized. It wasn't much, but it was home, and he's tried to get it
back, but the authorities won't help -- they're unwilling to confront
Mark and Ray. His wife was so devastated that she killed herself. So
Paul's living in the streets, where he regularly gets beaten up and
beaten back whenever he tries to reclaim 'his' house. He lives in
constant fear, and fierce resentment.
- Benny:
Benny's the local vigilante leader, and the guy Mark's gang fears most.
He remembers, a bit nostalgically and inaccurately, when the
neighbourhood was more peaceful. He's got a lot of money, and he uses
it to hit Mark's gang anywhere and any way he can. He has kept the
gang's headquarters under siege, and once even vandalized Mark's
private home in a distant, rich neighbourhood. He is consumed with his
anger and idealism, and determined to rid the neighbourhood of the gang
at any cost.
- Randy:
The other threat to Mark's gang comes from Randy, the local high school
principal, who has used the school as a centre for those determined to
oust the gang from the neighbourhood. He does everything he can to
persuade his students not to become gang members. Mark recently put out
a hit on Randy, so lately Randy has started barricading the school and
arming himself. Randy is driven by pride and outrage at what has
happened to his neighbourhood.
- Russ:
Russ is a former gangleader and local businessman whose gambling habit
got him into trouble. Once prosperous, he's fallen on hard times and
developed a serious drug habit. Everything his business earns is now
extorted by Mark's gang, or by other gangs that he owes money to as a
result of his addictions. His life is full of shame and despair, he
desperately wants to get out of the neighbourhood, and he has often
considered suicide.
- Chas:
Chas ran a small gang for years, with a lot of members but limited
success, until Mark took him under his wing. To some extent Mark and
Chas have become co-dependent, with Chas using his small army to help
Mark get what he wants, and Mark equipping Chas with what he hopes will
help him become a big-time gangster. They are still suspicious of each
other because they represent a mutual threat, but their co-dependence
keeps them at peace with each other. Chas remains in the shadow of his
strange and powerful mentor, and remains poor, desperate and somewhat
resigned to his lot, but, for now, keeps chasing the carrot that Mark
holds out for him. Meanwhile, sensing the tension, Randy the school
principal has asked Chas to form an alliance with him.
- Alf:
Poor uneducated Alf has been beaten up and pushed around all his life.
He briefly fell under Benny's spell and worked as a vigilante, but
wasn't very good at it, and Mark's gang crushed him and now beats him
up regularly and tracks him everywhere. Ironically, while he was once
beaten up by Russ, he's now Russ' pusher, and that's the only way he
can seem to make a living. Like Chas, Alf's life is one of continuous
desperation and resignation. He's lived in the neighbourhood all his
life, and there have never been good times.
- Rick:
Rick is Alf's richer and better educated cousin, but like Alf his life
in the neighbourhood has been one of continuous subjugation. He's had a
lifelong love/hate relationship with his next-door neighbour Randy. For
awhile they fought fiercely, but lately he's realized that Randy's the
only friend he has. Rick has a self-destructive streak, and has tried
to kill himself, and also tried to kill Ray once. He's never liked
Benny and the vigilantes, but recently was hospitalized and had his
luxurious house ransacked by Mark's gang under the false pretense of
striking back at Benny. The gang continues to occupy the house while
Rick recuperates in hospital. Now he's thinking maybe Benny isn't such
a bad guy after all. Like Paul, Rick is driven by fear and resentment
over his sad lot in life.
So there are the nine characters in our story. They're not very likable, I confess. It's a tough neighbourhood.
What I'd like you to do is to put yourself in the place of each of these characters and imagine what they might do next. How will the story of this sad community unfold? For example:
- Suppose
the authorities finally evict the gang from Paul's house. Will Paul be
satisfied living next door to the gang that humiliated him, or will be
try to evict the gang from that house as well?
- Vigilante
Benny's frustrated that, while many admire him, so few of the
neighbours are willing to join his vigilante group and actually do
anything to get the gang out of the neighbourhood. He's contemplating
another attack on Mark's house, but he really needs to do something
that will shake the people of the neighbourhood from their fear and
lethargy and get rid of the gang themselves, and he's not sure
attacking Mark's faraway house would have that effect. What can he do
to really stir up the neighbourhood, and/or so devastate Mark's gang
that they decide to go elsewhere?
- Principal Randy is terrified
of the hit that Mark has put out on him, having seen what has happened
to Alf and Rick. He's barricaded himself in his school, and has some
major weapons pointed at Rick's house next door (where Mark's gang is
still holed up) and at Ray's across the street, in case he's attacked
next. Mark's gang has told him that if he doesn't disarm and show the
gang that he has no weapons, he will be killed. What happens next?
- Will
the co-dependency between Mark and Chas hold, or will Chas take up
principal Randy's offer? Or will Chas play them off against each other,
and see who offers the most?
- Once Rick gets out of hospital,
how long will he tolerate Mark's gang occupying his house? Will he be
mad enough at being made Mark's patsy to join up, reluctantly, with
Benny? Or, seeing Mark's gang's threat against Randy, will he put aside
their differences and ally himself with the principal?
As you may have guessed, I'm setting you up. This is another of my If the Shoe Were On the Other Foot
exercises. The 'neighbourhood' is Asia and the MidEast, Mark is
America, Ray is Israel, Paul is Palestine, Benny is Bin Laden, Randy is
Iran, Russ is Russia, Chas is China, Alf is Afghanistan and Rick is
Iraq.
The purpose of the exercise is to try to get you to see how the leaders or the people of each of these countries see themselves now, and why
they are doing what they are doing. I can appreciate what drives people
to commit suicide, and to become a suicide bomber. I can see why people
who have hated each other for a long time continue to attack each other
irrationally and refuse to find any kind of workable compromise.
I
can see that Al Qaeda, while it has succeeded in nearly bankrupting the
US, has been ineffective in getting mainstream Islamic people to rise
up against their governments, expel all vestiges of the West and create
a single monolithic Islamic state. In that sense, especially since Bush
is bankrupting the US even without
its increased military spending, Bin Laden's campaign has been a total
failure. I can see why the situation in Russia and in Afghanistan (and
in many of the former Soviet states) is so hopeless that the only real
choice of the people is to kill themselves (by suicide or by drugs) or
to flee. I understand China's ambivalence to the US, its interest in
establishing the SCO
China-Russia-Iran-(India-Pakistan-Former Southern SSRs) alternative
economic and power bloc, and its desire to wean itself off dependence
on the US. And I can appreciate why Iran feels it has no choice but to
become a nuclear power and threaten Israel, in its own defence (and
why, as Sy Hersh explains this week in The New Yorker, the first response of Iran if it is attacked will be to pour its troops into Iraq to fight the US there).
The situation is complex,
which is why there is no clear human answer to it. Aside from its
scale, it is not all that different from the situation in many poor
urban areas that the government has given up trying to serve or save,
and which are loosely controlled by the equivalent of the Afghani
warlords who control (except for the capital) that country. In that
sense, my little gang war scenario is a miniaturization of the
situation in Asia and the MidEast, but not an oversimplification of it.
The approach of the West to impose a Western-style political and
economic system on the MidEast, where such systems are utterly alien,
is much like the approach to 'clean up' gang-controlled areas of
American cities: send in the troops, level everything, and let the
'market' build something that they will own and look after, so they'll
keep the locals in line to defend it. The hope is that if everyplace looks
like an American suburb, replete with McDonalds and the Gap and
Starbucks and heavily-armed cops and vigilantes and big privatized
jails and pro-American churches and all the other icons of American
capitalism, everyplace will start to act and be
like an American suburb, and the 'problem' will go away. It hasn't gone
away in America's cities (where this tactic has been tried) and it
won't go away in the MidEast either.
If the US could figure out
how to 'liberate' its own poor and down-trodden areas from poverty,
disease (the infant mortality in these areas of the US is higher than
in many third world countries, and the life expectancy lower), crime,
abuse of power, corruption and desperation, it might then discover that
the same approach could liberate many nations struggling with the same
cycle of despair. But because this is a complex problem, and the existing systems and prevailing imaginative poverty are only capable of addressing simple
problems with simplistic solutions, the US hasn't the faintest inkling
how to do it. The 'right answer' is never invasion, occupation, more
guns, more prisons, more law enforcement, or 'leaving it to the
market'. These merely contribute to the problem.
The 'complex system' answer is to remove the obstacles that prevent the people from taking back power and resources from the warlords and the gangs, and to provide incentives that will encourage and reward them for doing this for themselves. If the people win the peace, the people will protect it.
This
is not easy, of course, and it will take generations and cost far more
than the trillion or so that Bush has squandered in Iraq. Complex
system changes never are. But it's achievable, with enough time,
energy, and resources. But first we need to get rid of the imaginative
poverty and simplistic thinking that merely exacerbates these problems,
and the people, like those in the Bush regime, who resort to them.
There
is a real question of whether we can still afford the money, the
resources, the energy and the time that it will take, to do this in most of the world.
My guess is that the answer to this is no. But perhaps if we try it in
a few places, and discover that it works, we will be motivated to do
everything we can do to make it work everywhere else. So that,
ultimately, there will be no place left for those who would exploit the
ignorance, anger and suffering of others for their own advantage. And
the gang wars of this planet, at every scale, will finally be over.
Image: Donna DeCesare, taken for Dart Center in Guatemala last year. |
MADE IN CANADA
trust your
instincts 
