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Friday, April 30, 2004
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4:18:13 AM
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Wednesday, April 28, 2004
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For Sale - Gasoline |
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Hey Fill 'er Up
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It's time for some more news. Quite frankly, the so-called news that I've been delivering lately has been disappointing me and likely the rest of the also so-called normal folks. I have been delivering numbers and views that are truth as far as I am aware. Yes, I do have opinions. I don't always make mistakes and I'm not always right either. For example. the numbers that I am projected over there (now on the left) are real numbers. The number under that guy is a projection announcing the number of days until the inauguration. If you spot an error, you have always been welcome to present me with another view and furthermore thank you. On the other hand, if my opinion is flawed or is just of the formally referred to as jackass brine than you will probably have to look elsewhere for help. Ahem... |
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O.K. then. The first item today is that ornery looking graph that apparently plots the amount of oil production in whatever current time trend we would like to examine. Yep, that well known bell curve that most of us have visited in all of our god awful schools and - yes - that big lump in the middle is appropriate for the grade of "C". Fortunately this is not what we're discussing but the year 2004 does seem to fall in the allocated "high point" in this graph.
Let's see, this look fairly simple. Production seems to be increasing on the left hand side of that graph up until that indicated point which corresponds to the "right now" time period and is indicated by the "world mid point" arrow or dotted line. That graph illustrates the world's production or, more accurately, amassment of oil Curiously, the same arrow for the United States (which isn't mentioned much) falls somewhat to the left of that existing line. |
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The reason behind the right hand side declination of the bubble indicates that oil production is correspondingly declining. There could be a few reasons: If I were an oil company - I could make more money by offering a greater demanded product at a much greater cost. Well, dropping into the reality zone, I do believe that we are being offered a dramatic declining pool of product does reward an oil company with the usual and standard amount of profit. The reason for the problem? It is dramatically obvious. The world is about to run out of oil.
The line seems to drop rapidly to 2030 or 2050 area because the current demand for oil is still increasing - not decreasing. Undoubtedly that graph will actually expand its area far more to the right. What is different? What little amount of oil that is left will not "go around" and certainly not at the current price. Are we concerned yet? More on this later. Are we tired of living in a world made of plastic?
In most books you will generally find references to Col. Drake as drilling the first oil well in Pennsylvania in 1859. However, that is most likely not true. Hand-dug wells had been dug in Azerbaijan many years prior to that, near Baku. The Chinese may have also dug wells in the 1700's. Regardless who or exactly when the first wells were dug or drilled the use of petroleum quite possibly goes back to before the birth of Christ. The Phoenicians probably used petroleum to seal their ships. The Portuguese, Dutch, Spaniards, etc. all used petroleum to seal their ships. As to fuel, burning gas seeps were used for warming buildings perhaps as far back as the 1400's. Petroleum (tars) was used for burning long before that for fueling camp fires and for projectiles in battles. Refined products such, as kerosene, began to be used in England and the US in the early 1820's. Gasoline and diesel fuels for vehicles was first available in the 20th century as was home heating oils and refined lubricants.
Crude oil was first discovered seeping from the earth in many places in the world, notably in Azerbaijan, Iran, Persian Gulf area, South America, Mexico, USA, Russia, etc.
Ancient peoples learned that it was resistant to water so they used it to seal their boats. They also found that it would burn so very early began to use it for fuel and warmth and eventually they learned that it was a good lubricant.
What is crude oil? Crude oil is a naturally-occurring substance found trapped in certain rocks below the earth's crust. It is a dark, sticky liquid which, scientifically speaking, is classed as a hydrocarbon. This means, it is a compound containing only hydrogen and carbon. Crude oil is highly flammable and can be burned to create energy. Along with its sister hydrocarbon, natural gas, crude oil makes an excellent fuel.
Measurement Crude oil is measured in barrels. When crude oil first came into large-scale commercial use in the United States in the 19th century, it was stored in wooden barrels. One barrel equals 42 US gallons, or 159 liters. The term "liter" is largely unused in the United States except for the measurement of a large Coca Cola bottle.
World crude oil reserves (amounts currrently occasionally reported...) World crude oil reserves are estimated at more than one trillion barrels, of which the 11 OPEC Member Countries hold more than 75 per cent. OPEC's Members currently produce around 27 million to 28 million barrels per day of oil, or some 40 per cent of the world total output, which stands at about 75 million barrels per day.
Uses of crude oil Burning crude oil itself, however, is of limited use. To extract the maximum value from crude, it first needs to be refined into other products. The best-known of these is gasoline, or petrol from places known to sell in liter quantities. However, there are many other products that can be obtained when a barrel of crude oil is refined. These include liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), naphtha, kerosene, gasoline and fuel oil. All of these are fuels. Other useful products which are not fuels can also be manufactured by refining crude oil, such as lubricants and asphalt (used in paving roads). A range of sub-items like perfumes and insecticides are also ultimately derived from crude oil.
Furthermore, several of the products listed above which are derived from crude oil, such as naphtha, gasoline, LPG and ethane, can themselves be used as inputs or feedstock in the production of petrochemicals. There are more than 4,000 different petrochemical products, but those which are considered as basic products include ethylene, propylene, butadiene, benzene, ammonia and methanol. The main groups of petrochemical end-products are plastics, synthetic fibers, synthetic rubbers, detergents and chemical fertilizers. Considering the vast number of products that are derived from it, crude oil is a very versatile substance. Life as we know it today would be extremely difficult without crude oil and its by-products. At least, certainly in the present. |
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Like the 1849 gold rush which saw multitudes of would-be miners arrive in the frontier regions of California, a similar phenomenon took place a decade later in 1859 in America's eastern wilderness, but that time the beacon was crude oil and the place was Oil Creek at Titusville in Northwest Pennsylvania. The allure of the fledgling oil industry, like that of gold, tapped one of mankind's greatest emotions, the thrill of discovery. For some, the quest for oil led to great riches. There were sudden jobs, excitement, new towns, new places, incredible inventions and ponderous machinery. At Oil Creek, the multitude of new oilmen had a whole valley to fill. Soon they spilled out of those rich confines and began to test the geography of the continental and global dispersion of oil. There were many successes along the way as well as dry holes and tragedies. All are components of a giant industry which continues unabated today. The same thrill is there and new territory and deeper pools await the drill. As if this were a simple proposal wouldn't we have been always doing it the hard and/or complicated way? |
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| Now we're getting to the interesting part. That interesting part is actually the part that is upsetting everyone although the upsetting stuff is not entirely unexpected in the normal operation of the worldwide. Of course everyone knows this stuff. The whole world knows. What is wrong with me? How did I grow up in the greedy role and still expect miracles?
Of course the price of gasoline is increasing uncontrollably. In the United States, we are buying three out of every four barrels of oil that we use from a combination of outside sources who can assigned a cost to their exported oil at whatever they feel is, well, profitable.
That is not the bad news. It is simply a reality that will most likely finalize after I am deceased. If I attempt to answer questions like, "How much oil is there left?" or "How much oil is being used at any given time?" The answer appears to be something like, "Good luck." No one really knows or if they do, they're not telling anyone. Especially not oil companies. Presidential administrations are judgmentally eager to do some Alaskan oil drilling to retrieve some of what is left that is still easy to get. Put simply, oil companies - or call them whatever you wish - are in the business of bringing a necessary fuel to the world and they will continue to doing just that. I'm just like everyone else. I prefer a cool home in the summer or, like you, a warm home in the snowy winter. I like driving my car and buying endlessly all of my usual plastic crap constructions. If I need to cook my food, or flip my switch and burn the light bulbs in the evening or fill up my automobile with "gas" then bring it on. The oil companies will do just that.
If you study those pictures that are available, our life style continues but there is a "slight" change on the horizon.
Looking around I am finding the following advertisements:(and more and more of these types of things are coming)
Hydrogen-Fueled Three-Wheelers Could Make Impact on Developing Nations and U.S.
ROCHESTER HILLS, Mich -- An ambitious U.S. Department of Energy-implemented project supported by USAID to introduce three-wheel hydrogen-powered vehicles into India could have important consequences on air pollution and transportation in developing countries and the United States.
I consider this stuff being nicely made but without any mention of China which is the second biggest oil user on this Earth. “Hydrogen engine technology can have a dramatic impact in the developing world by improving air quality and energy security, and promoting sustainable economic growth,” Secretary of Energy Spencer Abraham said. “The positive impacts are far-reaching both in the United States and abroad.”
DOE is interested in testing alternative fuel-efficient systems under congested traffic conditions where transportation pollution is severe.
Congratulation to everyone's search for a lack of air pollution.
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 Sources:History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), rich pure&simple, Annual Energy Review 2002, DOE/EIA-0384(2002) (Washington, DC, 10/2003) web site www.eia.doe.gov.emeu/aer/contents.html. IEO2003: EIA, International Energy Outlook 2003,DOE/EIA-0484(2003) (Washington, DC 5/2003), web site www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/index.html. IEO2004: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2004, DOE/EIA-0383(2004) (Washington, DC, 1/2004), web site www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/index.html. |
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Let me end this little session by doing my usual calculator toll. Each table of usual numbers are presented with a great variety but the graphs and curved lines do make some sense - at least mathematically. You have probably noticed that rich has added my own offering to a certain graph's reality (in the above).
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Reserves in Gb |
Production in Mb/d |
| OGJ end 2002 |
1,212.881 |
66.043 |
| BP end 2002 |
1,047.700 |
73.935 |
| OGJ end 2001 |
1,031.553 |
63.695 |
| BP end 2001 |
1,050.300 |
74.350 |
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| WO end 2001 |
1,017.763 |
67.700 |
| OPEC end 2001 |
1,074.850 |
65.498 | The numbers only work if the language is understandable. Mb/d equates million barrels per day. In the computer world we often use the terminology Gb to mean gigabyte and not much is ever made of "gillion" (but that word does fall in a dictionary) and is taken here to mean a thousand million. For example when looking at the graph. 1213 GB/66 Mb/d = 18379 days or 18379/365= 50 years (based on year 2000) or alternatively 900 GB/ 66MB/d = 13636 days or 37 years for our limited future of current oil use. Oil production cannot likely increase. More people can or will use the allocated allotment. Have a great future. | |
6:03:40 AM
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Tuesday, April 27, 2004
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| The human species, considered in broad perspective, as a unit including its economic and industrial accessories, has swiftly and radically changed its character during the epoch in which our life has been laid. In this sense we are far removed from equilibrium — a fact that is of the highest practical significance, since it implies that a period of adjustment to equilibrium conditions lies before us, and he would be an extreme optimist who should expect that such adjustment can be reached without labor and travail. … While such sudden decline might, from a detached standpoint, appear as in accord with the eternal equities, since previous gains would in cold terms balance the losses, yet it would be felt as a superlative catastrophe. Our descendants, if such as this should be their fate, will see poor compensation for their ills and in fact that we did live in abundance and luxury. (mathematical biologist Alfred Lotka, 1925)
Polymath Norbert Wiener (1894-1964) wrote in 1950 that the best we can hope for the role of progress is that "our attempts to progress in the face of overwhelming necessity may have the purging terror of Greek tragedy." [America's] resources seemed inexhaustible [in 1500] … However, the existence of the new lands encouraged an attitude not unlike that of Alice's Mad Tea party. When the tea and cakes were exhausted at one seat, the natural thing … was to move on and occupy the next seat. … As time passed, the tea table of the Americas had proved not to be inexhaustible … What many of us fail to realize is that the last four hundred years are a highly special period in the history of the world. … This is partly the result of increased communication, but also of an increased mastery of nature which, on a limited planet like the earth, may prove in the long run to be an increased slavery to nature. (Wiener, 1950)
The fifth revolution will come when we have spent the stores of coal and oil that have been accumulating in the earth during hundreds of millions of years. … It is to be hoped that before then other sources of energy will have been developed, … but without considering the detail [here] it is obvious that there will be a very great difference in ways of life. … Whether a convenient substitute for the present fuels is found or not, there can be no doubt that there will have to be a great change in ways of life. This change may justly be called a revolution, but it differs from all the preceding ones in that there is no likelihood of its leading to increases of population, but even perhaps to the reverse. (Darwin, 1953)
It has often been said that, if the human species fails to make a go of it here on the Earth, some other species will take over the running. In the sense of developing intelligence this is not correct. We have or soon will have, exhausted the necessary physical prerequisites so far as this planet is concerned. With coal gone, oil gone, high-grade metallic ores gone, no species however competent can make the long climb from primitive conditions to high-level technology. This is a one-shot affair. If we fail, this planetary system fails so far as intelligence is concerned. The same will be true of other planetary systems. On each of them there will be one chance, and one chance only. (Sir Fred Hoyle, 1964)
Perhaps the most widespread evil is the Western view of man and nature. Among us, it is widely believed that man is apart from nature, superior to it; indeed, evolution is a process to create man and seat him on the apex of the cosmic pinnacle. He views the earth as a treasury that he can plunder at will. And, indeed, the behavior of Western people, notably since the advent of the Industrial Revolution, gives incontrovertible evidence to support this assertion. (Ian McHarg, 1971)
Oh really? Please drop by later. Thank you |
7:25:53 PM
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Friday, April 23, 2004
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Happy Earth Day |
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What did you do rich? Did you miss the day?
On the contrary. I have a copy of our report card from the WWF for 2002. Yeah I know - that sounds old too. Actually it came out mid year of 2003. The 2003 version won't be delivered until about July this year.
I didn't mention anything right away because I wanted to continue with a prevalent "Happy Holiday" greeting- evading the alter presupposition that our grades were not impressive.
To begin let me say, Happy Earth day.
I believe all I need to review is the math mark so far. I will be quick because you will probably pick this right up and leave room for imperative potential improvement. Some one may have to explain, well, the cognitive process, to the president.
The "Living Planet Index" (LPI) has been continuously derived from all of us "living stuff" over the past thirty years. I apologize for that LPI venture but when I was born and released on our very world, there were simultaneous frightening results. The LPI has decreased 35% lately. By the way, the LPI is actually an average of three separate ecosystem-based indices: Forest species declined by 15%; marine down 35% (although I think this one will really sound a lot worse...); and freshwater species down 55%. The LPI is a strictly quantitative confirmation that the earth is plank in the middle of a very rapid loss of biodiversity comparable with the great mass extinction events that have previously occurred only five times (six in progress now) in the entire world history.
What else?
The "ecological footprint" (EF) is also a big grade on the report card. It is a measure of the consumption of all renewable natural resources by we human things. In other words, renewable things like, shall we say food, can reoccur in time as long as an even greater proportion of said food is not consumed continually. The EF can be compared with the biologically productive capacity of the earth which is available to whatever the population. I'm going to spare you with the calculations on these numbers that nearly bust my calculator because those numbers are just plain big. Please note the formulas for the area of a sphere I remembered from the sixth grade (or was that just my ancient school system?)
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<-------- 12,756 km --------> |
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what is a hectare (ha) - a unit of surface area equal to 100 X 100 meters (or 10,000 meters2)
Earth's Diameter(equatorial): 12,756 km
Earth's radius = 6378 km Sphere Formulas Sphere Surface Area = 4 * pi * r2 (pi = 3.14159265)
surface area(m) = 511,185,931,938,410 m2 or
surface hectares = 51,118,593,193
70%-75% of the earth is covered with water.
That leaves: * .25 = 12,779,648,298 earth surface dry area hectares
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The EF of the world average back in 1999 was 2.3 hectares per person (dry land) or 20% above the earth's biological capacity of 1.9 hectares per person. Don't worry we can survive temporarily by eating everything in sight and, for example, using up all of the trees as well as any of the other available resources. (I'm leaving oil out of this pretty picture - the fun is yet to come....). Neither of these activities are what we call sustainable in the long term - what we could term as grandchildren for example.
Let's look quickly at our "effort" grades. Hmmm. We humans are moving away fom achieving our minimum requirement for sustainability - not toward it. The global ecological footprint has grown from about 70% in 1961 to about 120% in 1999. For the future we're talking anywhere in the 180% to 220% value by the year 2050. Uh Oh!
Teachers' Comments:Of course, it is very unlikely that the Earth would be able to run an ecological overdraft for another 50 years without some severe ecological backlashes undermining future population and economic growth (and I don't mean money here!). But I think it would be far better to control our own destiny than to leave it to big bad mother nature. If we are to return to a sustainable developmental pathway, it means making changes in four fundamental ways. First, it is necessary to improve the resource efficiency with which goods and services are produced. Second, we must consume resources more efficiently, and redress the disparity in consumption between high and low income countries (Whatever that might mean). Third, population growth must be controlled through promoting universal education and health care. And finally, it is imperative that we protect, manage and restore natural ecosystems in order to conserve biodiversity and maintain ecological services, and so conserve and enhance the planet's biological productivity, for the benefit of both the present and future generations of all living things.
Let's all relax. Living is easy and a lot of fun. It's a simple thing to fill up our cars with a large amount of inexpensive gasoline. We can venture wherever we wish. Keep that in mind.
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2:39:38 PM
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Tuesday, April 20, 2004
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Current World Population |
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...and growing
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If you saw this animal specimen in my last of the series, she is living and is doing well since 1942. What should have been there is apparently (of today) the beluga sturgeon a threatened species
(AP) - The government said Tuesday it was listing the beluga sturgeon as a threatened species under the Endangered Species Act, which could lead to a reduction or ban of U.S. imports of the prized beluga caviar. But enough about those things. Who wants that photo? Survival is now up to the following population. |
| I guess there isn't any real method to produce a perfect number. But I am pretty close. My guestimation will improve as I have my free time for the blog. The math seems to be fairly simple because we all know exactly what most people are up to.
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7:45:00 PM
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Sunday, April 18, 2004
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Which Ones Are The Extinct Kind? |
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Presumably - We're All Happy? |
| In the history of the living earth - as much as biologist scientists can determine (those digging up fossils) - living things have some existed during six distinct periods of what scientists refer to as extinctions.
It is certainly hard to deny that all things do not live - or their offspring - all of the time. What happened to them? Why did they die prematurely – in such a way that they have now officially not existed any further. I specifically do not want to sound morbid or in any way to disparage our own lives or, perhaps, our very influence about our very existence.
According to the various scientific general knowledge, the scientists have identified five major extinction events or periods in this earth’s entire history. In a major portion of these identified extinction periods were so severe that greater than 90 percent of all life forms were killed off or have died by so-called “natural” events. The last such extinction type thing occurred in what is called the Cretaceous-Tertiary time period which was about 63 million years ago that managed to kill off most of the dinosaurs. In fact, short of nasty green things that float about in your given marsh, there just aren’t any more of these dinosaur things. A popular potential problem that killed all of them was a big rock known as an asteroid that was hurled through space and landed smack in the middle of our world and that was that.
The causes of the other major extinctions are not well understood because we just don’t understand many things in detail. A lot of our knowledge is comprised of tiny little rocks that come from the ground known as fossils. The largest extinction ended the Permian epoch as few as 250 million years ago. Apparently about 4% of living things continued and prolonged the Earth’s history. There were three more extinction periods that were known even less about: The Ordovician of 435 million years ago; the Devonian – 357 million and the famous Triassic of a little as 198 million years ago.
There are reasons for our current extinction thingy – do we know why? I believe that we do. |
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| Endemism - The "natural" occurence or self-creation within narrowly defined geographical areas is important to species richness as a general measure of biodiversity. The so-called endemic plants are "native" to a particular place and found only there. If one is to wonder about in the world as do so many scientific ordeals, one will find centers of endemism where many different endemic species all occur together. The greatest number of endemic are often found on islands or any other unusual and isolated habitats. Serpentine soils (like that occurring around volcanoes) typically support lots of endemic species wherever they occur, but particularly in the tropics like Hawaii.
Of the 250,000 vascular plant species, 170,000 are tropical endemics. In the U.S., states with the highest plant richness, except for Hawaii, which has the second highest number of endemics but the fourth lowest number of native plant species. This high degree of endemism is a direct consequence of Hawaii's intense isolation, which has enabled unique and complex ecosystems that include large numbers of endemics to evolve. Because the endemics on oceanic islands have evolved in relative isolation over thousands of years, the are particularly vulnerable to change wrought by humans and introduced species.
More than a third of the native plants of the Hawaiian islands are currently at the risk of extinction.
And what about the poor Nene.
A selected scientist following the zoologist and geochemist strategy by the name of paul Martin (University of Arizona) says," We are in the middle of a sixth extinction event with the expanding role in the world of human beings."
Stuart Pimm, an ecologist as Duke University, said in Science that the British study results " show that we have likely underestimated the magnitude of the pending extinctions."
Scientists have pointed to the hundreds of species, most large animals and birds, that already are gone, some wiped out directly through human action.
Martin said the fossil records show that the disappearance of many animals in Australia, Madagascar and North America started about the time that humans arrived at those sites. Gone from the natural North American environment, for example, are mammoths, camels, giant sloths and saber-toothed tigers.
For tens of millions of years there were much larger animals on this continent. We have to settle now for deer, antelope and bison. But there was much more before humans came.
When it comes to it, if there is x amount of space for everything. The "we" is the what or the whom will have the choices to space and food and reproductivity. More on this later.
The final point is that this is just an incredibly horrible disaster for the earth. None of this is news. None of this is all history now either. We all should know. What we want to do anything about it is, well, nothing spectacular. The following is a minute collection of the creatures which are soon to be existless. I don't have enough time or space to picture the so-called probably doomed. Does it matter that some of the following are actually the cuter ones? My answer is: Not in the least. They are apparently no longer of our concern. I won't even mention that our ocean living existence is disappearing rapidly as well. Now, there is something that does concern us. Why? |
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| I am just too depressed to look up accomodating photographs for the following partial list. Do we remember these?
African Wild Dog, Asian Elephants, Bats, Black Footed Ferret, Blue Whales, Bowhead Whales, Burrowing Owls, California Condors, Chatham Island Taiko, Cheetahs, Dama Gazelles, Dhole, Eastern Tiger Salamanders, Elf Owls, Ethiopian Wolves, Florida Panthers, Gorillas, Humpback Whales, Hyacinth Macaws, Jaguars, Kakapo, Kermode Bears, Loggerhead Shrikes, Manatees, Mangabeys, Nile Crocodiles, Numbats, Orangutans, Pandas, Phillippine Eagles, Prairie Chickens, Proboscis Monkeys, Prosimians, Pupfish, Quolls, Red Colobus Monkeys, Red Wolves, Rhinoceroses, Saimaa Ringed Seal, Salmon, Sawfish, Sea Otters, Sea Turtles, Snow Leopards, Spotted Owl, Swift Foxes, Tapirs, Tasmanian Devils, Thorny Devils, Tigers, Vancouver Island Marmot, Vicuñas, Whooping Cranes
There is one animal that does favor excellent chances for its extended life. I will feature that one in my final series piece. After that let's get back to the fun first. |
12:12:35 AM
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Monday, April 12, 2004
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Do You Like Surfing? |
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This is my usual and popularly most attended movie theatres on my island - and one of the few reasons that I usually have for visiting Waikiki - but in this case, the price is economically attractive. The picture on the left does document the weekly opportunity In this particular place on an island. At this special time of occasion people are able to enjoy a surfing movie on the beach without even getting wet.
These movie get togethers happen each and every Saturday and Sunday evenings. In this particular instance, our gang was joined and hosted by a couple of older guys with last names that I believe hearing were Hynson and August and were happily saying that they had partly worked to bring us the new movie - Step Into Liquid - and that they were all pleased to be part of the indicated sport.
I and a few others around me did remember those old guys. I am something of a sprite myself but I do some surfing and I do remember circa 1966 when these guys brought out their own movie called Endless Summer and I do remember that theirs was a great movie. What can I say? There weren't any other movies of their kind with which to compare themselves... Hmmm.
The only thing that I have ever noticed about the difference in the people occupying the beach seats and those in more plush theatres is very strange but simultaneously very noticeable. For the most part - none of the local Hawaiians have left any litter behind themselves on the beach. Would I rather spend a lot of money to attend a more plush entertainment on my Saturday night together with the common knowledge that trash can be left behind on the floor. My obvious answer is that there isn't anything that I can find anywhere any more fun than I am having right here.
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Tonight was made into an informal memorial for the lately killed motorcycle rider and most of his free-time surfer named Will McInnis from Pohaku Park location as known by surfers as "S-Turns" near Kahana Maui. I can say that I've never met a nicer or funnier man than he who had a heart filled with aloha. He will be missed and I am sorry. We will all join him again by spirit again in the waves.
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It was interesting observing the untempered excitement and vocalization accompanying children and their families. There isn't much that Hawaiians have offered the world. Our Kupuna (ancestors) didn't ride on animals that other people called horses. Hawaiians didn't have any of those things. But the entertainment that they did invent and eventually did share with the rest of the world was their very art of riding the waves.
Curiously, children growing up in Hawaii were in the presence of some of the best wave structures that are available in the whole world and always on just the other side of their front doors.
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8:23:08 PM
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Saturday, April 10, 2004
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What Is Really Wrong With The Earth? |
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Or Nothing - We're All Happy? |
| In the history of the living earth - as much as biologist scientists can determine (those digging up fossils) - living things have some existed during six distinct periods of what scientists refer to as extinctions.
It is certainly hard to deny that all things do not live - or their offspring - all of the time. What happened to them? Why did they die prematurely – in such a way that they have now officially not existed any further. I specifically do not want to sound morbid or in any way to disparage our own lives or, perhaps, our very influence about our very existence. Let’s get started summarily because, maybe there is a clue. (This paper is still in progress. Oh rats)
According to the various scientific general knowledge, the scientists have identified five major extinction events or periods in this earth’s entire history. In a major portion of these identified extinction periods were so severe that greater than 90 percent of all life forms were killed off or have died by so-called “natural” events. The last such extinction type thing occurred in what is called the Cretaceous-Tertiary time period which was about 63 million years ago that managed to kill off most of the dinosaurs. In fact, short of nasty green things that float about in your given marsh, there just aren’t any more of these dinosaur things. A popular potential problem that killed all of them was a big rock known as an asteroid that was hurled through space and landed smack in the middle of our world and that was that.
The causes of the other major extinctions are not well understood because we just don’t understand many things in detail. A lot of our knowledge is comprised of tiny little rocks that come from the ground known as fossils. The largest extinction ended the Permian epoch as few as 250 million years ago. Apparently about 4% of living things continued and prolonged the Earth’s history. There were three more extinction periods that were known even less about: The Ordovician of 435 million years ago; the Devonian – 357 million and the famous Triassic of a little as 198 million years ago.
Well, that preamble is about it for now. Yes, I will continue and my story will become part of my latest very unpopular series. That being what it is, have a great day. You see (and a lot feel) that the period of the sixth major extinction in the world is happening right now. Yep, we’re all part of it. Doesn’t that sound like fun?
There are reasons for our current extinction thingy – do we know why? I believe that we do. |
8:07:22 AM
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Wednesday, April 07, 2004
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Never mind. I'll be back later.
Wait. Did I hear from a dinosaur?
7:23:05 PM
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Tuesday, April 06, 2004
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What Picture?
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| Do you see that picture over there on the left side – the one that keeps getting smaller and smaller until that mug ‘o flapping lips will ultimately end up in the pixel zero by zero image world?
What is that little number at the bottom of that picture? Is that number correct?
When that number reaches zero, will George Dubya’s picture go away and will he find some other job consequently? Distressingly I can not guarantee anything toward that ongoing hope. But, yes, I do guarantee that that particular photograph will disappear.
Well , let’s see. That number is the actual count of days until Jan 20, 2005. The 20th amendment to the American Constitution specifies that the term of each elected President of the United States begins at noon on January 20 of the year following the election. Each president must take the oath of office before assuming the duties of the position.
Preceding our last witness to the debauch in the year 2001, that same inauguration oath has taken place 68 different times by some 43 presidents of the United States. It all seems to have taken place on the 20th of January except on the rare occasions when that date occurred on a Sunday. I rest assured that this date will fall on a Thursday.
Does it matter that the population elects one president but that president is lawfully actually elected by the American electoral whose votes are somehow not connected directly to the population’s popular or should I say decisive vote? Why yes, apparently that scenario has occurred once in the past. Should I worry about that kind of thing happening a lot?
Let’s all wonder about that....
P.S. I am aware that those of you who have entered a zero for the “days left” number and have complained that there is still a border left. Please be patient – I will erase that annoying frame as well.
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| Election Year: |
2000 |
| President for now: |
George Dubya [R] |
| Main Opponent: |
Albert Gore, Jr. [D] |
| Electoral Vote: |
"Winner": 271 |
Main Opponent: 266 |
Total/Majority: 538/270 |
| Popular Vote by voting personnel: |
Dubya: 50,456,062 |
Main Opponent: 50,996,582 |
| Vice President: |
Richard B. Cheney (271) |
| V.P. Opponent: |
Joseph Lieberman (266) |
| Notes: |
George W. Bush received fewer popular votes than Albert Gore Jr., but received a majority of electoral votes. One electoral vote was not cast. | |
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7:18:27 PM
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Monday, April 05, 2004
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What Is Wrong With The World |
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Still in progress |
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Bromeliaceae Ananas comosusL-bromeliad (Pineapple or halakahiki) |
Let me draw the last three world problems into a conscious and somewhat blatant problem that results in presenting itself in my form of blog itself. I had some things that I kept bringing up that interested me by more it seemed than a commonly shared traditions of the Hawaiian land. Let me quickly review what I had brought up before I continue.
The coconut that is found prevalently in Hawaii is what the experts term an indigenous breed of plant. It didn't necessarily begin in Hawaii but it might have begun in any place in God's warm and sandy world and just happened to have a large and floatable seed that would itself float to just about any other available warm and sandy part of the world and root right in to that particular beach
The pineapples growing in Hawaii have a similar historical story regarding breed and/or reproduction. The main difference though was the fact that pineapples fail to float for thousands of miles by falling off of their paternal plant stalks and fall into the ocean. I will tell you how that they did get to the Hawaiian reproductive heaven.
Of course., when arriving at the correct historical fact event account, there are many different recounts that are accepted that when drawn together, produce a widely varying account of what is called "the truth"
Of the various forms of actual and truthful recapitulation or sagas, the following strike me as distinct possibilities. |
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These are where this series began |
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| Second |
| This one (No extra cost) | |
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| Although pineapples grow in many tropical regions of the world most of us - from the United States - associate pineapples with Hawaii. Captain Cook may have brought pineapple to the Hawaiian Islands or the fruit may have been washed ashore from Spanish shipwrecks. Spanish explorers knew that eating pineapple helped to prevent scurvy, a disease caused by a deficiency or lack of vitamin C, so they carried pineapples among their ship's provisions whenever possible.
Pineapple is a member of the tropical bromeliad family, and the only one with any economic value.
The pineapple is believed to have originated in the verdant lowlands of Paraguay. Carried aboard 15th and 16th century trade ships, the fruit was soon found growing as far away as Mexico, Australia, China and India. Christopher Columbus brought pineapples home from his travels in the "New World" and they soon became a gourmet delight savored across Europe. Even George Washington grew them in his Mount Vernon hothouse.
No one is certain of when pineapples were first grown in Hawaii, but historians believe that a Spanish shipwreck in 1527 on the South Kona coast on the Big Island of Hawaii brought tools, stores, garments and plants, including pineapples, from Mexico to Hawaii. In later years, more Spanish explorers arrived in Hawaii, planting pineapples among other fruits. Francisco de Paula Marin, a Spanish adventurer who arrived in Hawaii in 1794 and became a trusted friend and advisor to King Kamehameha the Great, experimented with raising pineapples in the early 1800s. The "Wild Kailua" pineapple was found growing in the Kona area as early as 1816.Captain John Kidwell is credited with founding Hawaii's pineapple industry.
The Hawaiian word for pineapple is halakahiki, which means "foreign fruit." It is believed that pineapple first originated in Paraguay or Brazil. Carried aboard 15th and 16th century trade ships, pineapple was soon found growing as far away as Mexico, |
 Carica papaya L.(Papaya or Mikana(?) or Papaia) |
Nymphoides aquatica (Banana or Mai'a) |
Original settlers of Polynesia migrated through South-East Asia and Indonesia across Melanesia, before settling the Polynesian islands from 1000 BC to 500 AD. Hawaii was one of the last island groups to be settled. Archaeological evidence indicates the first Polynesians arrived in Hawaii from the Marquesas between 500 and 700 AD." For crying out loud - these people were lost period. Hawaii is the most isolated place in the entire world. It isn't near anything. (Ahem, Maybe I'll explain why the so-called non-existent Seagulls in Hawaii are not here - unless of course their little arms are occasionally exhausted.)
First settlers to Hawaii introduced pigs and chickens of Asian ancestry. They also bring "`Ape (elephant's ear), `Awa (kawa), `Awapuhi Kuahiwi (shampoo ginger), Hau Ipu (gourd), Kalo (taro), Kamani (Alexandrian laurel), Ki (ti), Ko (sugar cane), Kou, Kukui (candlenut), Mai`a (banana), Milo (portia tree), Niu (coconut), Noni (Indian mulberry), `Ohe (bamboo), `Ohi`a `Ai (mountain apple), `Olena (turmeric), Olona, Pia (Polynesian arrowroot), `Uala (sweet potato), Uhi (yam), `Ulu (breadfruit), Wauke (paper mulberry)" with them. (From Canoe Plants of Ancient Hawaii.) |
 Houses in my Backyard |
John Wilkinson brings 30 of the so-called "Hawaiian coffee" plants from Brazil. This is believed to be the first introduction of this coffee type that was widely planted in Hawaii.
Alright and enough with the wild stories. The point seems to be that whatever neat thing to eat or observe that anyone seems to really like a lot were not developed in Hawaii. In actuality, the whatever neat thing was brought to Hawaii by a human either on purpose or part of a large accident - something in a large fraction of the neat things found here.
Hmmmm.
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 Cocos nucifera L.(Coconut or Niu) |
| People keep bringing things to Hawaii including themselves and their offspring and more and more people together with all of the things that all of the people seem to need. Like for instance houses in which they wish to live and produce and eat and in various ways utilize the world's menu.
Well, I'll admit that I do like pineapple and frankly I'd be just as happy about picking one up at the grocery store where products might be imported from Mexico or Brazil. What exactly is the final cost for all of the nice things brought to Hawaii by all the nice people? No, this story is not simply about the state of Hawaii. Although the state of Hawaii is part of the rest of the world.
More importantly, What exactly is the final cost for all of the nice things brought to the world by all of the many people? Does the number of people keep increasing? Forever?
Do all people share a common dream and a common purpose?
What about your state or residence? Is there still plenty of useable land meant for future development of the growing need for a "nice" home?
Oh yes, this story will be continued. Please remember the meaning of endemic plant origins offered in my first offering of this series. As well, all of those houses that keep popping up in the strangest places. Forever? |

My front yard last May. Definitely a beautiful Bromeliad but not tasty. Do they look alike? |
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10:27:39 PM
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Saturday, April 03, 2004
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What Is Wrong with The World? |
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To be still continued… |
11:46:16 AM
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