The World According To Chuck : The weblog of Chuck Sigars
Updated: 7/2/2004; 1:12:23 PM.

 

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Tuesday, June 15, 2004

Under the Weather

I've been sick for days now, a odd bug whose mission in life apparently is to make me feel tired.  The fevers have passed, the sore throat is over, and I'm feeling better every day, but I still want to turn around and go back to bed.

So I may not be exactly linear in this space.

Not that being linear is exactly my strength.

Updates: My apologies.  John's play went well.  The robins have arrived and departed for cheaper housing, probably in Eastern Washington.  I think that's about it.

Political Thoughts: Has anyone else noted the irony of the past week or so?  Here, with his poll numbers heading in the wrong direction, George W. got the chance to do what presidents love to do when support is heading south: look presidential.  The WWII memorial, the D-Day remembrance, mingling with world leaders and getting face time with the pope, all of which must have had the Kerry campaign sighing and throwing up their hands, and then it's all overshadowed by the death of Reagan, an event that, if it had to happen, you know Dubya really wanted to happen in October. 

I know there's lots of time between now and November, but there's some interesting history to look at.  Presidential elections in the U.S. when an incumbent is running are almost never close, historically speaking (talking about an incumbent president, not a veep), and certainly this is true in recent history.  We can argue about what "close" means, I guess, but let's just say there are early concession speeches. 

So, assuming history is something to look at here, no matter what the two campaigns say about this being a tight race, we can speculate that it might be an early night come November, which irritates us here on the left side of the country but tough cookies.  One way or the other. 

Add to this the (again historical) fact that an incumbent president's poll numbers at this point in the election cycle tend to correlate pretty closely with his eventual vote percentage come November, given that the electorate has had three-plus years to look at him, and you have an interesting hypothesis, or at least I do.

I think Bush is toast.

And if I'm wrong, remember that I'm sick, in case I didn't mention that.

Back to blogging about non-political and unimportant things soon.  I hope. 


11:31:16 AM    comment []

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